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New York Rangers vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 9, 2027

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 9, 2027.

January 9, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: San Jose Sharks at 58.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Away team

New York Rangers

41.3%
Fair American +142
Fair decimal 2.42
Calculate value
San Jose Sharks logo
Home team

San Jose Sharks

58.7%
Fair American -142
Fair decimal 1.7
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 9, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

146:33 together · 10 games

xG share60.5%
Corsi for / against
147 / 153
Fenwick for / against
107 / 98
Corsi share
49.0%
Fenwick share
52.2%
xG for / against
7.76 / 5.06
All observed combinations

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

128:35 together · 10 games

xG share45.6%
Corsi for / against
111 / 133
Fenwick for / against
79 / 95
Corsi share
45.5%
Fenwick share
45.4%
xG for / against
4.57 / 5.46
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

James Reimer

New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 26

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
8
Save %
62.5
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
37.5

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
158
Save %
91.8
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
35.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.27
xG against / game
2.91
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
3.07
xG against / game
3.93
xG differential / game
-0.86

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.8
Corsi share (%)
49.0
Fenwick share (%)
48.3
Faceoff win %
54.2
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 29.6 ft

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.6
Corsi share (%)
47.0
Fenwick share (%)
45.9
Faceoff win %
48.0
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
15Points13
0.536Points %0.500
44Goals for37
42Goals against45
2Goal differential-8
L3Current streakL2
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS home
7Games5
1Wins2
3Points4
-14Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
4-5-1Record4-5-1
9Points9
33Goals for28
36Goals against33
-3Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
San Jose Sharks SJS 4 wins
Total goals31 – 24
Goal differential +7 / -7
Goals per game3.1 / 2.4
Shots per game31.6 / 26.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 23, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 3 29 - 31 View
Oct 23, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
6 - 5 24 - 28 View
Mar 29, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
6 - 1 33 - 22 View
Nov 14, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 27 - 35 View
Jan 23, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 3 31 - 22 View
Dec 3, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 6 28 - 36 View
Nov 19, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 1 43 - 23 View
Oct 20, 2022
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 27 - 23 View
Jan 13, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 0 31 - 37 View
Dec 3, 2021
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
0 - 1 28 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.