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New York Rangers vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 23, 2026.

January 23, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

68:26 together · 8 games

xG share43.3%
Corsi for / against
66 / 71
Fenwick for / against
43 / 49
Corsi share
48.2%
Fenwick share
46.7%
xG for / against
2.69 / 3.53
Defense pair

114:41 together · 10 games

xG share47.1%
Corsi for / against
106 / 104
Fenwick for / against
74 / 79
Corsi share
50.5%
Fenwick share
48.4%
xG for / against
4.45 / 5.00
All observed combinations

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

79:16 together · 6 games

xG share48.8%
Corsi for / against
66 / 75
Fenwick for / against
49 / 55
Corsi share
46.8%
Fenwick share
47.1%
xG for / against
3.63 / 3.81
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jonathan Quick

New York Rangers · Last start: Jan 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
79.5
Goals allowed
23
Close-range shots %
31.2

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Jan 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
110
Save %
83.6
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
41.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.81
xG against / game
3.37
xG differential / game
-0.56

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
3.26
xG against / game
3.09
xG differential / game
0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.1
Corsi share (%)
47.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.9
Faceoff win %
57.8
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 12.3% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
47.2
Fenwick share (%)
47.7
Faceoff win %
51.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 30.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
15Points13
0.536Points %0.542
44Goals for37
42Goals against43
2Goal differential-6
L3Current streakL1
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS home
7Games4
1Wins2
3Points4
-14Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
4-5-1Record4-5-1
9Points9
33Goals for28
36Goals against36
-3Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 7 wins
10 games reviewed
San Jose Sharks SJS 3 wins
Total goals33 – 23
Goal differential +10 / -10
Goals per game3.3 / 2.3
Shots per game32.0 / 28.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 23, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
6 - 5 24 - 28 View
Mar 29, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
6 - 1 33 - 22 View
Nov 14, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 27 - 35 View
Jan 23, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 3 31 - 22 View
Dec 3, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 6 28 - 36 View
Nov 19, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 1 43 - 23 View
Oct 20, 2022
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 27 - 23 View
Jan 13, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 0 31 - 37 View
Dec 3, 2021
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
0 - 1 28 - 27 View
Feb 22, 2020
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 46 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.