Skip to content

New York Rangers vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2027

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 28, 2027.

February 28, 2027 · 12:00 PM CST
Away

New York Rangers

7-6-1

39.1%
at
Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

5-6-1

60.9% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Pittsburgh Penguins at 60.9%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Away team

New York Rangers

39.1%
Fair American +156
Fair decimal 2.56
Calculate value
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Home team

Pittsburgh Penguins

60.9%
Fair American -156
Fair decimal 1.64
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 28, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

146:33 together · 10 games

xG share60.6%
Corsi for / against
148 / 153
Fenwick for / against
108 / 98
Corsi share
49.2%
Fenwick share
52.4%
xG for / against
7.77 / 5.06
All observed combinations

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

62:36 together · 7 games

xG share45.1%
Corsi for / against
62 / 60
Fenwick for / against
44 / 50
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
46.8%
xG for / against
3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair

83:42 together · 10 games

xG share41.7%
Corsi for / against
96 / 88
Fenwick for / against
70 / 70
Corsi share
52.2%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
3.95 / 5.54
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

James Reimer

New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 26

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
8
Save %
62.5
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
37.5

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
90.6
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
32.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.27
xG against / game
2.91
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.15
xG against / game
3.33
xG differential / game
-0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.9
Corsi share (%)
49.1
Fenwick share (%)
48.3
Faceoff win %
54.2
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.9
Corsi share (%)
50.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
46.6
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
15Points11
0.536Points %0.458
44Goals for40
42Goals against40
2Goal differential0
L3Current streakW2
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
7Games5
1Wins4
3Points8
-14Goal differential6
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
4-5-1Record3-6-1
9Points7
33Goals for27
36Goals against35
-3Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 4 wins
Total goals40 – 29
Goal differential +11 / -11
Goals per game4.0 / 2.9
Shots per game27.0 / 29.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 28, 2026
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 33 - 25 View
Jan 31, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 6 20 - 34 View
Oct 11, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 1 30 - 19 View
Oct 7, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 0 31 - 25 View
Feb 23, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 3 16 - 40 View
Feb 7, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 26 - 24 View
Dec 6, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 4 22 - 32 View
Oct 9, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 0 40 - 31 View
Apr 1, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 2 20 - 30 View
Mar 16, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
7 - 4 28 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYR PIT