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New York Rangers vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 31, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 31, 2026.

January 31, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

92:16 together · 9 games

xG share49.2%
Corsi for / against
80 / 91
Fenwick for / against
56 / 69
Corsi share
46.8%
Fenwick share
44.8%
xG for / against
4.05 / 4.19
Defense pair

154:33 together · 10 games

xG share44.7%
Corsi for / against
129 / 148
Fenwick for / against
85 / 117
Corsi share
46.6%
Fenwick share
42.1%
xG for / against
5.20 / 6.43
All observed combinations

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

89:16 together · 8 games

xG share65.8%
Corsi for / against
89 / 74
Fenwick for / against
74 / 55
Corsi share
54.6%
Fenwick share
57.4%
xG for / against
5.59 / 2.90
Defense pair

123:12 together · 8 games

xG share53.9%
Corsi for / against
136 / 120
Fenwick for / against
102 / 86
Corsi share
53.1%
Fenwick share
54.3%
xG for / against
7.13 / 6.11
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jonathan Quick

New York Rangers · Last start: Jan 29

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
84.6
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
28.2

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Jan 29

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
134
Save %
92.5
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
27.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.66
xG against / game
3.10
xG differential / game
-0.43

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.67
xG against / game
2.85
xG differential / game
0.82

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.9
Corsi share (%)
49.1
Fenwick share (%)
47.7
Faceoff win %
57.3
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.7
Corsi share (%)
51.8
Fenwick share (%)
52.6
Faceoff win %
52.8
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 29.5 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 30.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
15Points11
0.536Points %0.458
44Goals for40
42Goals against40
2Goal differential0
L3Current streakW2
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
7Games5
1Wins4
3Points8
-14Goal differential6
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
4-5-1Record3-6-1
9Points7
33Goals for27
36Goals against35
-3Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 3 wins
Total goals39 – 21
Goal differential +18 / -18
Goals per game3.9 / 2.1
Shots per game28.5 / 29.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 11, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 1 30 - 19 View
Oct 7, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 0 31 - 25 View
Feb 23, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 3 16 - 40 View
Feb 7, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 26 - 24 View
Dec 6, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 4 22 - 32 View
Oct 9, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 0 40 - 31 View
Apr 1, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 2 20 - 30 View
Mar 16, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
7 - 4 28 - 37 View
Nov 22, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 0 36 - 32 View
Mar 18, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers New York Rangers
0 - 6 33 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.