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New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 9, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 9, 2026.

March 9, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

95:44 together · 8 games

xG share55.4%
Corsi for / against
106 / 88
Fenwick for / against
83 / 69
Corsi share
54.6%
Fenwick share
54.6%
xG for / against
4.99 / 4.02
Defense pair

85:31 together · 10 games

xG share27.7%
Corsi for / against
62 / 89
Fenwick for / against
33 / 70
Corsi share
41.1%
Fenwick share
32.0%
xG for / against
1.54 / 4.00
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

68:00 together · 8 games

xG share58.2%
Corsi for / against
47 / 54
Fenwick for / against
33 / 37
Corsi share
46.5%
Fenwick share
47.1%
xG for / against
2.90 / 2.09
Defense pair

170:28 together · 10 games

xG share47.4%
Corsi for / against
122 / 139
Fenwick for / against
84 / 100
Corsi share
46.7%
Fenwick share
45.7%
xG for / against
5.62 / 6.25
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jonathan Quick

New York Rangers · Last start: Mar 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
154
Save %
89.6
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
22.7

Dan Vladar

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Mar 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
92.4
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
30.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.43
xG against / game
3.27
xG differential / game
-0.84

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
2.64
xG against / game
2.82
xG differential / game
-0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.7
Corsi share (%)
46.9
Fenwick share (%)
44.0
Faceoff win %
55.0
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 22.7 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.3
Corsi share (%)
46.8
Fenwick share (%)
46.1
Faceoff win %
47.2
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 21.7 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
15Points9
0.577Points %0.346
41Goals for24
36Goals against42
5Goal differential-18
L2Current streakL1
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
7Games7
1Wins2
3Points6
-14Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
5-4-1Record3-6-1
11Points7
34Goals for20
32Goals against29
2Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 4 wins
Total goals37 – 33
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game3.7 / 3.3
Shots per game26.4 / 32.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 26, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 24 - 25 View
Jan 17, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
6 - 3 28 - 28 View
Dec 20, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 5 32 - 27 View
Apr 9, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
8 - 5 30 - 29 View
Jan 23, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 6 34 - 37 View
Nov 29, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 3 23 - 35 View
Apr 11, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 1 26 - 25 View
Mar 26, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 6 42 - 27 View
Feb 24, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 1 24 - 40 View
Nov 24, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 1 19 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.