Forward trio
68:30 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 66 / 72
- Fenwick for / against
- 43 / 50
- Corsi share
- 47.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.2%
- xG for / against
- 2.69 / 3.57
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 17, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 17, 2026.
January 17, 2026
· 12:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
115:56 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 107 / 113
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 86
- Corsi share
- 48.6%
- Fenwick share
- 44.5%
- xG for / against
- 4.72 / 5.08
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
83:32 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 80 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 57 / 65
- Corsi share
- 48.2%
- Fenwick share
- 46.7%
- xG for / against
- 3.60 / 4.62
Defense pair
110:08 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 108 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 57
- Corsi share
- 54.5%
- Fenwick share
- 55.5%
- xG for / against
- 4.99 / 4.60
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jonathan Quick
New York Rangers · Last start: Jan 14
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 103
- Save %
- 78.6
- Goals allowed
- 22
- Close-range shots %
- 33.0
Samuel Ersson
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Jan 15
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 92
- Save %
- 80.4
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 31.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 2.62
- xG against / game
- 3.63
- xG differential / game
- -1.01
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 3.07
- xG against / game
- 3.06
- xG differential / game
- 0.01
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.7
- Faceoff win %
- 53.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 24.2 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.6
- Faceoff win %
- 51.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.8
Shots / game: 28.1 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYR
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 0.536 | Points % | 0.357 |
| 44 | Goals for | 27 |
| 42 | Goals against | 46 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -19 |
| L3 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
NYR road
|
Metric |
PHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 8 |
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| -14 | Goal differential | -11 |
Last 10 games
|
NYR
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 3-5-2 |
| 9 | Points | 8 |
| 33 | Goals for | 22 |
| 36 | Goals against | 29 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYR
7 wins
10
games reviewed
PHI
3 wins
Total goals38 – 32
Goal differential
+6
/
-6
Goals per game3.8 / 3.2
Shots per game27.0 / 33.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New York Rangers
|
4 - 5 | 32 - 27 | View |
| Apr 9, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New York Rangers
|
8 - 5 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Jan 23, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 6 | 34 - 37 | View |
| Nov 29, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 3 | 23 - 35 | View |
| Apr 11, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New York Rangers
|
4 - 1 | 26 - 25 | View |
| Mar 26, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New York Rangers
|
5 - 6 | 42 - 27 | View |
| Feb 24, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 1 | 24 - 40 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 1 | 19 - 37 | View |
| Mar 1, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 28 | View |
| Dec 17, 2022 |
New York Rangers
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
6 - 3 | 34 - 32 | View |