Skip to content

New York Rangers vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 15, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 15, 2026.

October 15, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

New York Rangers

7-6-1

1
Final
Home

New Jersey Devils

8-4-0

7 Model pick
Model V2 pick: New Jersey Devils at 66.7% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Away team

New York Rangers

33.3%
Fair American +200
Fair decimal 3.0
Best market +122 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 45.0%
Edge -11.7%
Expected value -26.1%
Calculate value
New Jersey Devils logo
Home team

New Jersey Devils

66.7%
Fair American -200
Fair decimal 1.5
Best market -135 · BetMGM
Market implied 57.4%
Edge +9.3%
Expected value +16.1%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 15, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

8 / 8 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

111:06 together · 8 games

xG share41.5%
Corsi for / against
87 / 97
Fenwick for / against
52 / 72
Corsi share
47.3%
Fenwick share
41.9%
xG for / against
3.96 / 5.57
All observed combinations

New Jersey Devils

6 / 6 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

44:56 together · 5 games

xG share58.8%
Corsi for / against
54 / 28
Fenwick for / against
38 / 18
Corsi share
65.9%
Fenwick share
67.9%
xG for / against
2.18 / 1.53
Defense pair

95:21 together · 6 games

xG share59.1%
Corsi for / against
128 / 68
Fenwick for / against
86 / 50
Corsi share
65.3%
Fenwick share
63.2%
xG for / against
5.20 / 3.61
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

New York Rangers

Dylan Garand 70.8%
Other eligible goalies

Why Dylan Garand?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team win pct before
-0.441
Goalie start pct before
+0.428
Started last game
-0.346
Won previous appearance
+0.292
Prev save pct
+0.259
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 15, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

New Jersey Devils

Jake Allen 79.2%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jake Allen?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.767
Prev save pct
-0.343
Won previous appearance
+0.311
Started last game
-0.301
Goalie win pct before
+0.231
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 15, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dylan Garand

New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 13

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
81
Save %
95.1
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
29.6

Jake Allen

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 13

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
104
Save %
88.5
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
30.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.08
xG against / game
2.60
xG differential / game
0.48

8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
3.79
xG against / game
2.87
xG differential / game
0.92

6 / 6 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

8 / 8 games covered

Attempts / game
50.2
Corsi share (%)
47.7
Fenwick share (%)
48.0
Faceoff win %
54.6
Penalties / game
4.25

Shots / game: 23.2 · Shooting: 14.5% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

New Jersey Devils

6 / 6 games covered

Attempts / game
74.8
Corsi share (%)
60.6
Fenwick share (%)
58.3
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
2.83

Shots / game: 36.3 · Shooting: 7.3% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
15Points16
0.536Points %0.667
44Goals for41
42Goals against33
2Goal differential8
L3Current streakW4
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD home
7Games8
1Wins6
3Points12
-14Goal differential11
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
4-5-1Record7-3-0
9Points14
33Goals for38
36Goals against25
-3Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 5 wins
10 games reviewed
New Jersey Devils NJD 5 wins
Total goals26 – 34
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.6 / 3.4
Shots per game25.4 / 27.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 31, 2026
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 23 - 22 View
Mar 18, 2026
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers New York Rangers
6 - 3 39 - 18 View
Mar 7, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 6 20 - 35 View
Apr 5, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
0 - 4 26 - 16 View
Jan 9, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 23 - 32 View
Dec 23, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
0 - 5 12 - 30 View
Dec 2, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 1 28 - 39 View
Apr 3, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 4 20 - 41 View
Mar 11, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 3 20 - 26 View
Feb 22, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
5 - 1 18 - 40 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYR NJD