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New York Rangers vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 14, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 14, 2026.

March 14, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

64:45 together · 7 games

xG share55.9%
Corsi for / against
59 / 46
Fenwick for / against
37 / 34
Corsi share
56.2%
Fenwick share
52.1%
xG for / against
2.57 / 2.02
Defense pair

127:04 together · 8 games

xG share57.6%
Corsi for / against
120 / 94
Fenwick for / against
87 / 75
Corsi share
56.1%
Fenwick share
53.7%
xG for / against
5.49 / 4.03
All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

168:31 together · 10 games

xG share63.3%
Corsi for / against
194 / 145
Fenwick for / against
144 / 105
Corsi share
57.2%
Fenwick share
57.8%
xG for / against
9.72 / 5.64
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Igor Shesterkin

New York Rangers · Last start: Mar 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
155
Save %
91.0
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
29.0

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Mar 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
144
Save %
91.0
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
32.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.60
xG against / game
3.38
xG differential / game
-0.78

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.16
xG against / game
3.02
xG differential / game
0.14

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
46.4
Fenwick share (%)
44.4
Faceoff win %
53.6
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 23.5 · Shooting: 16.2% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.9
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
50.0
Faceoff win %
46.7
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 28.2 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
15Points18
0.536Points %0.692
44Goals for41
42Goals against30
2Goal differential11
L3Current streakW2
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN home
7Games4
1Wins4
3Points8
-14Goal differential7
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
4-5-1Record6-3-1
9Points13
33Goals for32
36Goals against25
-3Goal differential7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Minnesota Wild MIN 4 wins
Total goals36 – 32
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game3.6 / 3.2
Shots per game30.1 / 30.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 20, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 1 32 - 24 View
Apr 2, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 5 24 - 39 View
Mar 13, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 2 31 - 28 View
Nov 9, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 26 - 28 View
Nov 4, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 5 18 - 39 View
Jan 10, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 4 32 - 43 View
Oct 13, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
7 - 3 35 - 36 View
Mar 8, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 5 25 - 28 View
Jan 28, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 34 - 27 View
Feb 13, 2020
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 3 31 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.