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New York Rangers vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 11, 2027

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 11, 2027.

January 11, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Los Angeles Kings at 52.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Away team

New York Rangers

47.9%
Fair American +109
Fair decimal 2.09
Calculate value
Los Angeles Kings logo
Home team

Los Angeles Kings

52.1%
Fair American -109
Fair decimal 1.92
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 11, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

141:07 together · 10 games

xG share60.5%
Corsi for / against
134 / 153
Fenwick for / against
100 / 95
Corsi share
46.7%
Fenwick share
51.3%
xG for / against
7.85 / 5.14
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

68:17 together · 7 games

xG share64.8%
Corsi for / against
95 / 56
Fenwick for / against
66 / 40
Corsi share
62.9%
Fenwick share
62.3%
xG for / against
4.19 / 2.27
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dylan Garand

New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
86.9
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
30.8

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 24

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
85
Save %
89.4
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
24.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 11, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.35
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
0.37

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
2.95
xG differential / game
-0.20

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 11, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.6
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
53.7
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 29.6 ft

Los Angeles Kings

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
57.4
Corsi share (%)
49.6
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
51.0
Penalties / game
4.33

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
15Points6
0.577Points %0.333
41Goals for21
36Goals against32
5Goal differential-11
L2Current streakL1
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
7Games3
1Wins0
3Points0
-14Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
5-4-1Record2-5-2
11Points6
34Goals for21
32Goals against32
2Goal differential-11
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 6 wins
Total goals25 – 29
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game2.5 / 2.9
Shots per game26.2 / 31.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 16, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 1 26 - 22 View
Jan 20, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 4 36 - 27 View
Mar 25, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 3 23 - 33 View
Dec 14, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 1 32 - 32 View
Jan 20, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 2 23 - 26 View
Dec 10, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 26 - 27 View
Feb 26, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 5 28 - 21 View
Nov 22, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 3 25 - 38 View
Jan 24, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 36 - 30 View
Jan 10, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 3 23 - 39 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.