Away team
New York Rangers
31.3%
Fair American
+219
Fair decimal
3.19
New York Rangers vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 25, 2027
NHL matchup
New York Rangers at Florida Panthers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 25, 2027.
March 25, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Florida Panthers at 68.7%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Florida Panthers
68.7%
Fair American
-219
Fair decimal
1.46
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 25, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 2.21
- ROI
- 44.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 3-1
- Net units
- 2.41
- ROI
- 60.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 0.60
- ROI
- 10.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- -1.71
- ROI
- -21.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 84
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 65
- Corsi share
- 51.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.82 / 3.49
Defense pair
146:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 148 / 153
- Fenwick for / against
- 108 / 98
- Corsi share
- 49.2%
- Fenwick share
- 52.4%
- xG for / against
- 7.77 / 5.06
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
72:54 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 52
- Fenwick for / against
- 43 / 38
- Corsi share
- 57.0%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.59 / 1.54
Defense pair
126:22 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 131 / 84
- Fenwick for / against
- 97 / 66
- Corsi share
- 60.9%
- Fenwick share
- 59.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.35 / 3.48
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
New York Rangers
Expected starter unavailable.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
James Reimer
New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 26
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 8
- Save %
- 62.5
- Goals allowed
- 3
- Close-range shots %
- 37.5
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 117
- Save %
- 87.2
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 29.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 3.27
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.41
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.67
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 56.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.5
- Faceoff win %
- 45.5
- Penalties / game
- 5.7
Shots / game: 29.7 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYR
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 14 |
| 0.536 | Points % | 0.583 |
| 44 | Goals for | 34 |
| 42 | Goals against | 36 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -2 |
| L3 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
NYR road
|
Metric |
FLA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 3 |
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 4 |
| -14 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
NYR
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 5-4-1 |
| 9 | Points | 11 |
| 33 | Goals for | 30 |
| 36 | Goals against | 32 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYR
5 wins
10
games reviewed
FLA
5 wins
Total goals32 – 30
Goal differential
+2
/
-2
Goals per game3.2 / 3.0
Shots per game29.3 / 29.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 |
New York Rangers
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 17 | View |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 3 | 27 - 21 | View |
| Jan 2, 2026 |
New York Rangers
at
Florida Panthers
|
5 - 1 | 20 - 37 | View |
| Apr 14, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Florida Panthers
|
5 - 3 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Dec 30, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 5 | 35 - 26 | View |
| Oct 24, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 1 | 29 - 25 | View |
| Mar 23, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 4 | 30 - 37 | View |
| Mar 4, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
New York Rangers
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 28 | View |
| Dec 29, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 4 | 34 - 33 | View |
| Mar 25, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Florida Panthers
|
4 - 3 | 42 - 34 | View |