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New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 2, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 2, 2026.

October 2, 2026 · 5:30 PM CST
Away

New York Rangers

7-6-1

2
Final
Home

Detroit Red Wings

5-4-3

0 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Detroit Red Wings at 65.6% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Away team

New York Rangers

34.4%
Fair American +191
Fair decimal 2.91
Best market +112 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 47.2%
Edge -12.8%
Expected value -27.1%
Calculate value
Detroit Red Wings logo
Home team

Detroit Red Wings

65.6%
Fair American -191
Fair decimal 1.52
Best market -126 · FanDuel
Market implied 55.8%
Edge +9.8%
Expected value +17.7%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 2, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

28:18 together · 2 games

xG share40.2%
Corsi for / against
23 / 28
Fenwick for / against
13 / 17
Corsi share
45.1%
Fenwick share
43.3%
xG for / against
0.92 / 1.37
All observed combinations

Detroit Red Wings

No completed regular-season games in this window.

All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Igor Shesterkin

New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 1

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
46
Save %
93.5
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
32.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.65
xG against / game
2.60
xG differential / game
0.05

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Detroit Red Wings

xG unavailable.

0 / 0 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
49.5
Corsi share (%)
45.6
Fenwick share (%)
45.9
Faceoff win %
56.0
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 24.5 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
15Points13
0.536Points %0.542
44Goals for33
42Goals against37
2Goal differential-4
L3Current streakW1
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
7Games7
1Wins3
3Points7
-14Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
4-5-1Record5-2-3
9Points13
33Goals for31
36Goals against32
-3Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 2 wins
Total goals35 – 19
Goal differential +16 / -16
Goals per game3.5 / 1.9
Shots per game29.3 / 31.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 4, 2026
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 32 - 20 View
Nov 16, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 1 42 - 19 View
Nov 7, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 1 26 - 33 View
Nov 9, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 0 24 - 37 View
Oct 17, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 2 34 - 31 View
Oct 14, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 32 - 28 View
Apr 5, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 3 38 - 34 View
Nov 29, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 27 - 41 View
Nov 7, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 5 28 - 32 View
Feb 23, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 4 31 - 23 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYR DET