Forward trio
111:53 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 93 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 79
- Corsi share
- 47.7%
- Fenwick share
- 46.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.37 / 4.42
New York Rangers vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 11, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Rangers at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 11, 2026.
April 11, 2026
· 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
149:05 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 154 / 134
- Fenwick for / against
- 109 / 108
- Corsi share
- 53.5%
- Fenwick share
- 50.2%
- xG for / against
- 7.62 / 7.00
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
45:52 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 37 / 36
- Fenwick for / against
- 24 / 28
- Corsi share
- 50.7%
- Fenwick share
- 46.2%
- xG for / against
- 1.80 / 2.33
Defense pair
109:09 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 58 / 68
- Corsi share
- 44.4%
- Fenwick share
- 46.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.35 / 5.41
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Igor Shesterkin
New York Rangers · Last start: Apr 8
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 122
- Save %
- 91.8
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 28.7
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Apr 9
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 107
- Save %
- 86.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 26.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 2.91
- xG against / game
- 2.88
- xG differential / game
- 0.03
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 2.65
- xG against / game
- 3.01
- xG differential / game
- -0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.9
- Faceoff win %
- 56.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 47.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.1
- Faceoff win %
- 47.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 21.2 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYR
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 15 |
| 0.536 | Points % | 0.625 |
| 44 | Goals for | 33 |
| 42 | Goals against | 25 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 8 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
NYR road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 8 |
| -14 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
NYR
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 9 | Points | 15 |
| 33 | Goals for | 32 |
| 36 | Goals against | 19 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 13 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYR
7 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
3 wins
Total goals37 – 28
Goal differential
+9
/
-9
Goals per game3.7 / 2.8
Shots per game30.3 / 33.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 41 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
New York Rangers
|
5 - 4 | 39 - 26 | View |
| Dec 20, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 1 | 30 - 42 | View |
| Feb 20, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 3 | 42 - 26 | View |
| Nov 20, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 6 | 33 - 36 | View |
| Jan 12, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Oct 29, 2022 |
New York Rangers
at
Dallas Stars
|
6 - 3 | 27 - 33 | View |
| Mar 12, 2022 |
New York Rangers
at
Dallas Stars
|
7 - 4 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Oct 14, 2021 |
Dallas Stars
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 2 | 26 - 33 | View |
| Mar 10, 2020 |
New York Rangers
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 2 | 27 - 33 | View |