Away team
New York Islanders
52.2%
Fair American
-109
Fair decimal
1.92
New York Islanders vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 5, 2027
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at Vancouver Canucks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 5, 2027.
January 5, 2027
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New York Islanders at 52.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Vancouver Canucks
47.8%
Fair American
+109
Fair decimal
2.09
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 5, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- -0.28
- ROI
- -5.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -3.13
- ROI
- -44.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 3-0
- Net units
- 1.72
- ROI
- 57.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 2-11
- Net units
- -6.64
- ROI
- -51.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 90.9%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Islanders
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsVancouver Canucks
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
New York Islanders
Expected starter unavailable.
Vancouver Canucks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Semyon Varlamov
New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 92
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 40.2
Leevi Meriläinen
Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 177
- Save %
- 88.7
- Goals allowed
- 20
- Close-range shots %
- 35.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.99
- xG against / game
- 3.38
- xG differential / game
- -0.39
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vancouver Canucks
- xG for / game
- 2.41
- xG against / game
- 4.17
- xG differential / game
- -1.76
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.3
- Faceoff win %
- 56.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 46.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 42.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 41.1
- Faceoff win %
- 45.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 20.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 7 |
| 0.583 | Points % | 0.250 |
| 36 | Goals for | 43 |
| 32 | Goals against | 65 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -22 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
VAN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 5 | Points | 2 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -8 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 1-8-1 |
| 12 | Points | 3 |
| 29 | Goals for | 24 |
| 30 | Goals against | 47 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -23 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
4 wins
10
games reviewed
VAN
6 wins
Total goals34 – 37
Goal differential
-3
/
+3
Goals per game3.4 / 3.7
Shots per game29.1 / 31.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 38 | View |
| Jan 19, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
4 - 3 | 32 - 32 | View |
| Dec 19, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 1 | 30 - 23 | View |
| Mar 26, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
New York Islanders
|
5 - 2 | 25 - 28 | View |
| Nov 14, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
5 - 2 | 32 - 26 | View |
| Jan 9, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
New York Islanders
|
5 - 2 | 34 - 20 | View |
| Nov 15, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 43 | View |
| Feb 9, 2023 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
New York Islanders
|
6 - 5 | 34 - 29 | View |
| Jan 3, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
6 - 2 | 29 - 26 | View |
| Mar 3, 2022 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 3 | 38 - 27 | View |