New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 17, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 17, 2026.

October 17, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

New York Islanders

43-34-5
at
Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

32-36-14
Model favourite New York Islanders at 65.3%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Islanders logo
Away team

New York Islanders

65.3%
Fair American -188
Fair decimal 1.53
Calculate value
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Home team

Toronto Maple Leafs

34.7%
Fair American +188
Fair decimal 2.88
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
91Points78
0.555Points %0.476
233Goals for253
241Goals against299
-8Goal differential-46
L3Current streakL5
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR home
41Games41
21Wins18
45Points44
-6Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
3-7-0Record2-7-1
6Points5
24Goals for28
35Goals against47
-11Goal differential-19
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR 2 wins
Total goals38 – 25
Goal differential +13 / -13
Goals per game3.8 / 2.5
Shots per game31.8 / 28.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 9, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 5 16 - 44 View
Mar 17, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 1 34 - 27 View
Jan 3, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 21 - 25 View
Jan 2, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 1 31 - 33 View
Dec 31, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
1 - 3 31 - 25 View
Dec 21, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
6 - 3 34 - 29 View
Feb 5, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 2 29 - 36 View
Jan 11, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 35 - 30 View
Dec 11, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 40 - 29 View
Mar 21, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 7 27 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYI TOR