Away team
New York Islanders
38.8%
Fair American
+158
Fair decimal
2.58
New York Islanders vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 25, 2027
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 25, 2027.
March 25, 2027
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
St. Louis Blues at 61.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
St. Louis Blues
61.2%
Fair American
-158
Fair decimal
1.63
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 25, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- -0.28
- ROI
- -5.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -3.13
- ROI
- -44.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 3-0
- Net units
- 1.72
- ROI
- 57.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.60
- ROI
- 15.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.70
- ROI
- 34.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.49
- ROI
- -41.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Islanders
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinations
St. Louis Blues
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
New York Islanders
Expected starter unavailable.
St. Louis Blues
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Semyon Varlamov
New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 92
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 40.2
Jordan Binnington
St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 103
- Save %
- 84.5
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 35.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.99
- xG against / game
- 3.38
- xG differential / game
- -0.39
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
St. Louis Blues
- xG for / game
- 3.12
- xG against / game
- 2.68
- xG differential / game
- 0.44
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.3
- Faceoff win %
- 56.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.6
- Faceoff win %
- 51.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 11 |
| 0.583 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 36 | Goals for | 35 |
| 32 | Goals against | 37 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
STL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Points | 7 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 0 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| 29 | Goals for | 30 |
| 30 | Goals against | 31 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
5 wins
10
games reviewed
STL
5 wins
Total goals24 – 29
Goal differential
-5
/
+5
Goals per game2.4 / 2.9
Shots per game33.6 / 27.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
St. Louis Blues
|
4 - 3 | 49 - 23 | View |
| Nov 22, 2025 |
St. Louis Blues
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 1 | 22 - 30 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 3 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Oct 17, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
St. Louis Blues
|
0 - 1 | 34 - 30 | View |
| Mar 5, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 4 | 21 - 33 | View |
| Feb 22, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
St. Louis Blues
|
0 - 4 | 38 - 25 | View |
| Dec 6, 2022 |
St. Louis Blues
at
New York Islanders
|
7 - 4 | 28 - 40 | View |
| Nov 3, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
St. Louis Blues
|
5 - 2 | 30 - 34 | View |
| Apr 9, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
St. Louis Blues
|
1 - 6 | 31 - 31 | View |
| Mar 5, 2022 |
St. Louis Blues
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 2 | 31 - 20 | View |