Away team
New York Islanders
43.8%
Fair American
+128
Fair decimal
2.28
New York Islanders vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 28, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 28, 2026.
November 28, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Philadelphia Flyers at 56.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Philadelphia Flyers
56.2%
Fair American
-128
Fair decimal
1.78
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 28, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- -0.28
- ROI
- -5.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -3.13
- ROI
- -44.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 3-0
- Net units
- 1.72
- ROI
- 57.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 1.36
- ROI
- 34.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
54:55 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 51 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 37 / 43
- Corsi share
- 47.7%
- Fenwick share
- 46.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.96 / 3.35
Defense pair
121:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 86 / 63
- Corsi share
- 59.4%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.72 / 4.44
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
49:44 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 40 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 22 / 25
- Corsi share
- 51.3%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 2.09 / 1.31
Defense pair
106:21 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 92
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 59
- Corsi share
- 51.1%
- Fenwick share
- 53.9%
- xG for / against
- 4.34 / 3.84
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
New York Islanders
Expected starter unavailable.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Ilya Sorokin
New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 135
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 28.1
Joseph Woll
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 134
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 32.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.97
- xG against / game
- 3.30
- xG differential / game
- -0.33
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.65
- xG against / game
- 3.44
- xG differential / game
- -0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 56.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.6
- Faceoff win %
- 49.8
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 23.3 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| 0.545 | Points % | 0.346 |
| 32 | Goals for | 24 |
| 29 | Goals against | 42 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -18 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
PHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 6 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| 31 | Goals for | 20 |
| 27 | Goals against | 29 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
4 wins
10
games reviewed
PHI
6 wins
Total goals27 – 26
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game2.7 / 2.6
Shots per game27.8 / 26.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 1 | 21 - 22 | View |
| Jan 26, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 0 | 23 - 21 | View |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 3 | 21 - 31 | View |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 26 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 4 | 40 - 22 | View |
| Jan 30, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 0 | 28 - 23 | View |
| Jan 24, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 3 | 30 - 27 | View |
| Jan 16, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New York Islanders
|
5 - 3 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Apr 1, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 34 | View |
| Nov 25, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 0 | 40 - 25 | View |