Away team
New York Islanders
43.0%
Fair American
+133
Fair decimal
2.33
New York Islanders vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 12, 2027
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at New York Rangers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 12, 2027.
February 12, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New York Rangers at 57.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New York Rangers
57.0%
Fair American
-133
Fair decimal
1.75
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 12, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- -0.28
- ROI
- -5.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -3.13
- ROI
- -44.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 3-0
- Net units
- 1.72
- ROI
- 57.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 2.21
- ROI
- 44.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 3-1
- Net units
- 2.41
- ROI
- 60.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 0.60
- ROI
- 10.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:15 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 66 / 48
- Fenwick for / against
- 45 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.06 / 2.71
Defense pair
130:50 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 135 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 93 / 69
- Corsi share
- 59.2%
- Fenwick share
- 57.4%
- xG for / against
- 6.37 / 5.00
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 84
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 65
- Corsi share
- 51.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.82 / 3.48
Defense pair
146:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 147 / 153
- Fenwick for / against
- 107 / 98
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.2%
- xG for / against
- 7.76 / 5.06
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
New York Islanders
Expected starter unavailable.
New York Rangers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Semyon Varlamov
New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 92
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 40.2
James Reimer
New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 26
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 8
- Save %
- 62.5
- Goals allowed
- 3
- Close-range shots %
- 37.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 12, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.99
- xG against / game
- 3.38
- xG differential / game
- -0.39
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 3.27
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 12, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.3
- Faceoff win %
- 56.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 29.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 15 |
| 0.583 | Points % | 0.536 |
| 36 | Goals for | 44 |
| 32 | Goals against | 42 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
NYR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 7 |
| 2 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Points | 12 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 16 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| 29 | Goals for | 33 |
| 30 | Goals against | 36 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
4 wins
10
games reviewed
NYR
6 wins
Total goals23 – 34
Goal differential
-11
/
+11
Goals per game2.3 / 3.4
Shots per game30.5 / 28.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 5 | 19 - 24 | View |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 1 | 21 - 21 | View |
| Jan 28, 2026 |
New York Rangers
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 5 | 16 - 36 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
New York Islanders
|
0 - 2 | 27 - 26 | View |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
New York Rangers
|
5 - 0 | 26 - 33 | View |
| Apr 10, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
New York Islanders
|
9 - 2 | 32 - 46 | View |
| Mar 3, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
New York Rangers
|
0 - 4 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
New York Islanders
|
5 - 1 | 18 - 37 | View |
| Nov 3, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 5 | 37 - 40 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 3 | 36 - 43 | View |