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New York Islanders vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 6, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 6, 2026.

October 6, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

New York Islanders

5-4-2

2
Final
Home

New York Rangers

7-6-1

5 Model pick
Model V2 pick: New York Rangers at 52.6% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Islanders logo
Away team

New York Islanders

47.4%
Fair American +111
Fair decimal 2.11
Best market +130 · FanDuel
Market implied 43.5%
Edge +3.9%
Expected value +9.0%
Calculate value
New York Rangers logo
Home team

New York Rangers

52.6%
Fair American -111
Fair decimal 1.9
Best market -147 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 59.5%
Edge -6.9%
Expected value -11.6%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 6, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Islanders

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

11:35 together · 2 games

xG share24.1%
Corsi for / against
4 / 21
Fenwick for / against
3 / 15
Corsi share
16.0%
Fenwick share
16.7%
xG for / against
0.29 / 0.93
Defense pair

21:28 together · 2 games

xG share71.0%
Corsi for / against
20 / 14
Fenwick for / against
15 / 13
Corsi share
58.8%
Fenwick share
53.6%
xG for / against
1.53 / 0.63
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

54:28 together · 4 games

xG share34.8%
Corsi for / against
40 / 55
Fenwick for / against
24 / 37
Corsi share
42.1%
Fenwick share
39.3%
xG for / against
1.68 / 3.14
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 3

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
63
Save %
96.8
Goals allowed
2
Close-range shots %
31.7

Igor Shesterkin

New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 4

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
76
Save %
93.4
Goals allowed
5
Close-range shots %
35.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
3.30
xG against / game
3.02
xG differential / game
0.29

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.84
xG against / game
2.64
xG differential / game
0.20

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
59.0
Corsi share (%)
49.6
Fenwick share (%)
48.4
Faceoff win %
48.5
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 29.5 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

New York Rangers

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
49.2
Corsi share (%)
45.9
Fenwick share (%)
46.8
Faceoff win %
52.9
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 23.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
12Points15
0.545Points %0.536
32Goals for44
29Goals against42
3Goal differential2
L1Current streakL3
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
5Games7
1Wins6
3Points12
-5Goal differential16
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
5-3-2Record4-5-1
12Points9
31Goals for33
27Goals against36
4Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 5 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 5 wins
Total goals25 – 31
Goal differential -6 / +6
Goals per game2.5 / 3.1
Shots per game31.4 / 29.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 29, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 1 21 - 21 View
Jan 28, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 5 16 - 36 View
Dec 27, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 2 27 - 26 View
Nov 8, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 0 26 - 33 View
Apr 10, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
9 - 2 32 - 46 View
Mar 3, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New York Rangers New York Rangers
0 - 4 21 - 27 View
Feb 25, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 1 18 - 37 View
Nov 3, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 5 37 - 40 View
Apr 13, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 36 - 43 View
Apr 9, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 4 33 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYI NYR