Away team
New York Islanders
47.2%
Fair American
+112
Fair decimal
2.12
New York Islanders vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 12, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 12, 2026.
November 12, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Los Angeles Kings at 52.8%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Los Angeles Kings
52.8%
Fair American
-112
Fair decimal
1.89
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 12, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- -0.28
- ROI
- -5.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -3.13
- ROI
- -44.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 3-0
- Net units
- 1.72
- ROI
- 57.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 0-2
- Net units
- -2.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 1-4
- Net units
- -2.64
- ROI
- -52.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -1.11
- ROI
- -36.9%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:15 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 66 / 48
- Fenwick for / against
- 45 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.06 / 2.71
Defense pair
130:50 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 135 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 93 / 69
- Corsi share
- 59.2%
- Fenwick share
- 57.4%
- xG for / against
- 6.37 / 5.00
Los Angeles Kings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
68:23 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 83 / 63
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 51
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 54.5%
- xG for / against
- 4.63 / 3.46
Defense pair
93:52 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 128 / 98
- Fenwick for / against
- 89 / 64
- Corsi share
- 56.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.49 / 3.92
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
New York Islanders
Expected starter unavailable.
Los Angeles Kings
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Semyon Varlamov
New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 92
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 40.2
Anton Forsberg
Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 112
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 24.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.99
- xG against / game
- 3.38
- xG differential / game
- -0.39
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Los Angeles Kings
- xG for / game
- 2.83
- xG against / game
- 2.98
- xG differential / game
- -0.15
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.3
- Faceoff win %
- 56.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft
Los Angeles Kings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.1
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
LAK
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 8 |
| 0.583 | Points % | 0.364 |
| 36 | Goals for | 28 |
| 32 | Goals against | 37 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -9 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
LAK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 3 |
| 2 | Wins | 0 |
| 5 | Points | 0 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -7 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
LAK
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 3-5-2 |
| 12 | Points | 8 |
| 29 | Goals for | 24 |
| 30 | Goals against | 29 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -5 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
1 wins
10
games reviewed
LAK
9 wins
Total goals18 – 36
Goal differential
-18
/
+18
Goals per game1.8 / 3.6
Shots per game28.4 / 31.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 43 | View |
| Mar 13, 2026 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 23 | View |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
3 - 5 | 34 - 35 | View |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
1 - 4 | 34 - 32 | View |
| Dec 10, 2024 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 1 | 30 - 20 | View |
| Mar 11, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
0 - 3 | 26 - 25 | View |
| Dec 9, 2023 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 35 - 30 | View |
| Mar 14, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
2 - 5 | 28 - 37 | View |
| Feb 24, 2023 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 18 | View |
| Feb 26, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
2 - 5 | 28 - 35 | View |