New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 15, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 15, 2026.

January 15, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Jan 13

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
153
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
35.9

Tristan Jarry

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Jan 13

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
87.4
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
33.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.77
xG against / game
3.44
xG differential / game
-0.66

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.85
xG against / game
2.70
xG differential / game
1.14

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.2
Attempt share
46.5
Faceoff win %
49.7
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 12.5% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.1
Attempt share
49.4
Faceoff win %
51.5
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 31.9 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
7Points11
0.500Points %0.786
20Goals for31
17Goals against22
3Goal differential9
OT1Current streakL1
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
3Games3
0Wins1
1Points3
-5Goal differential-1
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
3-3-1Record5-1-1
7Points11
20Goals for31
17Goals against22
3Goal differential9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 6 wins
Total goals23 – 27
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game2.3 / 2.7
Shots per game27.3 / 34.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 16, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 4 33 - 25 View
Mar 14, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 1 35 - 25 View
Nov 12, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 4 22 - 42 View
Dec 19, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 3 31 - 21 View
Nov 13, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 4 33 - 32 View
Jan 5, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 22 - 38 View
Nov 23, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 3 49 - 31 View
Feb 11, 2022
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 3 38 - 36 View
Jan 1, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 19 - 29 View
Oct 8, 2019
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 2 27 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.