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New York Islanders vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 23, 2027

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 23, 2027.

February 23, 2027 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

New York Islanders

6-4-2

49.9%
at
Home

Chicago Blackhawks

4-8-0

50.1% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Chicago Blackhawks at 50.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Islanders logo
Away team

New York Islanders

49.9%
Fair American +100
Fair decimal 2.0
Calculate value
Chicago Blackhawks logo
Home team

Chicago Blackhawks

50.1%
Fair American -100
Fair decimal 2.0
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 23, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

130:50 together · 10 games

xG share56.0%
Corsi for / against
135 / 93
Fenwick for / against
93 / 69
Corsi share
59.2%
Fenwick share
57.4%
xG for / against
6.37 / 5.00
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

66:26 together · 9 games

xG share54.8%
Corsi for / against
40 / 56
Fenwick for / against
32 / 40
Corsi share
41.7%
Fenwick share
44.4%
xG for / against
2.67 / 2.20
Defense pair

121:03 together · 10 games

xG share41.1%
Corsi for / against
69 / 113
Fenwick for / against
56 / 85
Corsi share
37.9%
Fenwick share
39.7%
xG for / against
3.65 / 5.24
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Semyon Varlamov

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 27

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
92
Save %
89.1
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
40.2

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
153
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
42.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.99
xG against / game
3.38
xG differential / game
-0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.60
xG against / game
3.39
xG differential / game
-0.79

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.7
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
50.3
Faceoff win %
56.2
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
47.9
Corsi share (%)
44.9
Fenwick share (%)
44.0
Faceoff win %
44.0
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 22.1 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 30.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
14Points8
0.583Points %0.333
36Goals for26
32Goals against44
4Goal differential-18
W1Current streakW1
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
6Games8
2Wins4
5Points8
-4Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
5-3-2Record4-6-0
12Points8
29Goals for24
30Goals against33
-1Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 4 wins
Total goals31 – 25
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game3.1 / 2.5
Shots per game29.7 / 23.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 8, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 4 23 - 19 View
Mar 24, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 24 - 47 View
Dec 30, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2 21 - 19 View
Dec 15, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 5 33 - 23 View
Dec 12, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 5 30 - 21 View
Apr 2, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 2 19 - 29 View
Jan 19, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 4 30 - 24 View
Dec 4, 2022
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 3 21 - 40 View
Nov 1, 2022
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 1 33 - 22 View
Dec 5, 2021
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 2 26 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYI CHI