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New York Islanders vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 11, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 11, 2026.

December 11, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

New York Islanders

6-4-2

37.7%
at
Home

Carolina Hurricanes

10-2-2

62.3% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 62.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Islanders logo
Away team

New York Islanders

37.7%
Fair American +165
Fair decimal 2.65
Calculate value
Carolina Hurricanes logo
Home team

Carolina Hurricanes

62.3%
Fair American -165
Fair decimal 1.61
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 11, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

130:57 together · 10 games

xG share56.3%
Corsi for / against
136 / 93
Fenwick for / against
94 / 69
Corsi share
59.4%
Fenwick share
57.7%
xG for / against
6.43 / 5.00
All observed combinations

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

164:37 together · 10 games

xG share57.3%
Corsi for / against
176 / 119
Fenwick for / against
130 / 81
Corsi share
59.7%
Fenwick share
61.6%
xG for / against
8.35 / 6.22
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Semyon Varlamov

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 27

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
92
Save %
89.1
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
40.2

Pyotr Kochetkov

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
102
Save %
92.2
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
41.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.99
xG against / game
3.38
xG differential / game
-0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.95
xG against / game
2.38
xG differential / game
1.57

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.7
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
50.3
Faceoff win %
56.2
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
67.5
Corsi share (%)
59.1
Fenwick share (%)
60.8
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
14Points22
0.583Points %0.786
36Goals for53
32Goals against34
4Goal differential19
W1Current streakW2
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR home
6Games5
2Wins3
5Points7
-4Goal differential4
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
5-3-2Record8-1-1
12Points17
29Goals for42
30Goals against22
-1Goal differential20
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Carolina Hurricanes CAR 6 wins
Total goals28 – 39
Goal differential -11 / +11
Goals per game2.8 / 3.9
Shots per game26.3 / 32.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 14, 2026
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 1 21 - 29 View
Apr 4, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 4 16 - 40 View
Oct 30, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 6 28 - 34 View
Mar 30, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 6 31 - 30 View
Jan 25, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 27 - 27 View
Dec 17, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
0 - 4 32 - 29 View
Dec 7, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 31 - 25 View
Mar 19, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 1 34 - 31 View
Dec 23, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
5 - 4 28 - 40 View
Nov 30, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
5 - 4 16 - 43 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYI CAR