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New York Islanders vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 4, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 4, 2026.

April 4, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

78:20 together · 9 games

xG share54.7%
Corsi for / against
101 / 79
Fenwick for / against
73 / 59
Corsi share
56.1%
Fenwick share
55.3%
xG for / against
4.40 / 3.65
Defense pair

97:51 together · 8 games

xG share47.8%
Corsi for / against
88 / 98
Fenwick for / against
66 / 76
Corsi share
47.3%
Fenwick share
46.5%
xG for / against
4.64 / 5.07
All observed combinations

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

107:20 together · 10 games

xG share64.1%
Corsi for / against
148 / 80
Fenwick for / against
115 / 57
Corsi share
64.9%
Fenwick share
66.9%
xG for / against
8.95 / 5.02
Defense pair

157:37 together · 10 games

xG share58.4%
Corsi for / against
213 / 121
Fenwick for / against
153 / 80
Corsi share
63.8%
Fenwick share
65.7%
xG for / against
9.67 / 6.88
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Apr 3

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
86.9
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
39.2

Frederik Andersen

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Apr 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
100
Save %
86.0
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
44.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
3.00
xG against / game
3.23
xG differential / game
-0.23

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.89
xG against / game
2.74
xG differential / game
1.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.9
Corsi share (%)
51.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.8
Faceoff win %
57.1
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 28.2 · Shooting: 9.2% · Avg distance: 33.6 ft

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
74.1
Corsi share (%)
61.2
Fenwick share (%)
62.1
Faceoff win %
50.8
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 33.6 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
14Points22
0.583Points %0.786
36Goals for53
32Goals against34
4Goal differential19
W1Current streakW2
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR home
6Games5
2Wins3
5Points7
-4Goal differential4
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
5-3-2Record8-1-1
12Points17
29Goals for42
30Goals against22
-1Goal differential20
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Carolina Hurricanes CAR 6 wins
Total goals28 – 39
Goal differential -11 / +11
Goals per game2.8 / 3.9
Shots per game26.5 / 34.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 30, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 6 28 - 34 View
Mar 30, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 6 31 - 30 View
Jan 25, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 27 - 27 View
Dec 17, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
0 - 4 32 - 29 View
Dec 7, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 31 - 25 View
Mar 19, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 1 34 - 31 View
Dec 23, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
5 - 4 28 - 40 View
Nov 30, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
5 - 4 16 - 43 View
Nov 4, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 46 - 25 View
Apr 2, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 2 22 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.