Away team
New York Islanders
47.4%
Fair American
+111
Fair decimal
2.11
New York Islanders vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 3, 2027
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 3, 2027.
February 3, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Buffalo Sabres at 52.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Buffalo Sabres
52.6%
Fair American
-111
Fair decimal
1.9
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 3, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- -0.28
- ROI
- -5.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -3.13
- ROI
- -44.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 3-0
- Net units
- 1.72
- ROI
- 57.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -1.66
- ROI
- -23.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 1-5
- Net units
- -4.07
- ROI
- -67.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 2.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Islanders
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsBuffalo Sabres
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
New York Islanders
Expected starter unavailable.
Buffalo Sabres
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Ilya Sorokin
New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 135
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 28.1
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 89.0
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 40.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.86
- xG against / game
- 3.27
- xG differential / game
- -0.41
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.10
- xG against / game
- 3.67
- xG differential / game
- -0.57
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 56.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.5
- Faceoff win %
- 48.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 11 |
| 0.545 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 32 | Goals for | 31 |
| 29 | Goals against | 41 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -10 |
| L1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Points | 6 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 4-3-3 |
| 12 | Points | 11 |
| 31 | Goals for | 28 |
| 27 | Goals against | 35 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
3 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
7 wins
Total goals17 – 33
Goal differential
-16
/
+16
Goals per game1.7 / 3.3
Shots per game27.3 / 31.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 33 | View |
| Jan 24, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New York Islanders
|
5 - 0 | 21 - 26 | View |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 34 - 32 | View |
| Dec 23, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New York Islanders
|
7 - 1 | 25 - 28 | View |
| Nov 30, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New York Islanders
|
0 - 3 | 29 - 20 | View |
| Nov 1, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 3 | 36 - 35 | View |
| Mar 14, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
0 - 4 | 21 - 37 | View |
| Oct 21, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
1 - 3 | 25 - 42 | View |
| Oct 14, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 29 | View |
| Mar 25, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 0 | 35 - 26 | View |