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New York Islanders vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 26, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 26, 2026.

December 26, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

New York Islanders

5-4-2

37.0%
at
Home

Boston Bruins

9-2-1

63.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Boston Bruins at 63.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Islanders logo
Away team

New York Islanders

37.0%
Fair American +170
Fair decimal 2.7
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 26, 2026.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
3.03
ROI
37.9%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
0.79
ROI
11.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
6
Record
6-0
Net units
4.68
ROI
78.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

54:55 together · 7 games

xG share46.9%
Corsi for / against
51 / 56
Fenwick for / against
37 / 43
Corsi share
47.7%
Fenwick share
46.3%
xG for / against
2.96 / 3.35
Defense pair

121:23 together · 10 games

xG share56.3%
Corsi for / against
126 / 86
Fenwick for / against
86 / 63
Corsi share
59.4%
Fenwick share
57.7%
xG for / against
5.72 / 4.44
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

113:24 together · 9 games

xG share48.5%
Corsi for / against
96 / 122
Fenwick for / against
70 / 81
Corsi share
44.0%
Fenwick share
46.4%
xG for / against
5.44 / 5.77
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
28.1

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
32.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.97
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.30
xG against / game
3.04
xG differential / game
0.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.0
Corsi share (%)
49.2
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
56.0
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.1
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
48.3
Faceoff win %
54.0
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 15.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
12Points19
0.545Points %0.792
32Goals for48
29Goals against26
3Goal differential22
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
5Games6
1Wins5
3Points10
-5Goal differential17
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
5-3-2Record7-2-1
12Points15
31Goals for41
27Goals against23
4Goal differential18
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 7 wins
Total goals29 – 40
Goal differential -11 / +11
Goals per game2.9 / 4.0
Shots per game31.3 / 27.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 26, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 1 14 - 44 View
Nov 4, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 27 - 33 View
Oct 28, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 5 35 - 22 View
Feb 27, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 1 20 - 39 View
Jan 5, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
5 - 4 37 - 30 View
Nov 27, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Islanders New York Islanders
6 - 3 21 - 24 View
Mar 2, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 5 23 - 26 View
Dec 15, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 4 34 - 37 View
Nov 9, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 5 29 - 35 View
Feb 18, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 6 28 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYI BOS