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New Jersey Devils vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 26, 2026

NHL matchup

New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 26, 2026.

February 26, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

52:25 together · 8 games

xG share69.3%
Corsi for / against
59 / 41
Fenwick for / against
45 / 26
Corsi share
59.0%
Fenwick share
63.4%
xG for / against
1.96 / 0.87
Defense pair

73:00 together · 10 games

xG share42.3%
Corsi for / against
55 / 65
Fenwick for / against
43 / 44
Corsi share
45.8%
Fenwick share
49.4%
xG for / against
2.01 / 2.73
All observed combinations

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

111:23 together · 10 games

xG share68.2%
Corsi for / against
110 / 89
Fenwick for / against
90 / 67
Corsi share
55.3%
Fenwick share
57.3%
xG for / against
8.36 / 3.90
Defense pair

95:47 together · 7 games

xG share58.2%
Corsi for / against
86 / 68
Fenwick for / against
65 / 48
Corsi share
55.8%
Fenwick share
57.5%
xG for / against
4.75 / 3.40
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Allen

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Feb 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
36.8

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Feb 5

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
91.2
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
34.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
2.93
xG against / game
2.60
xG differential / game
0.34

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.81
xG against / game
2.94
xG differential / game
0.87

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.8
Corsi share (%)
52.5
Fenwick share (%)
52.0
Faceoff win %
49.2
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 26.9 · Shooting: 7.4% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.3
Corsi share (%)
52.8
Fenwick share (%)
53.5
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 15.0% · Avg distance: 30.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New Jersey Devils NJD
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
16Points11
0.667Points %0.458
41Goals for40
33Goals against40
8Goal differential0
W4Current streakW2
Road versus home
New Jersey Devils NJD road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
4Games5
2Wins4
4Points8
-3Goal differential6
Last 10 games
New Jersey Devils NJD
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
7-3-0Record3-6-1
14Points7
38Goals for27
25Goals against35
13Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New Jersey Devils NJD 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 4 wins
Total goals32 – 29
Goal differential +3 / -3
Goals per game3.2 / 2.9
Shots per game28.8 / 25.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 8, 2026
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 4 29 - 29 View
Nov 8, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 2 34 - 24 View
Apr 11, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 2 24 - 28 View
Mar 15, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 7 27 - 24 View
Feb 4, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 2 21 - 27 View
Dec 21, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
0 - 3 12 - 27 View
Apr 2, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
6 - 3 21 - 26 View
Mar 19, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
2 - 5 38 - 38 View
Nov 16, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 2 31 - 23 View
Apr 4, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 5 23 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.