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New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 13, 2026

NHL matchup

New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 13, 2026.

October 13, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Away

New Jersey Devils

8-5-0

5
Final
Home

Detroit Red Wings

5-4-3

4 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Detroit Red Wings at 56.0% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New Jersey Devils logo
Away team

New Jersey Devils

44.0%
Fair American +127
Fair decimal 2.27
Best market -105 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 51.2%
Edge -7.2%
Expected value -14.1%
Calculate value
Detroit Red Wings logo
Home team

Detroit Red Wings

56.0%
Fair American -127
Fair decimal 1.79
Best market -109 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 52.2%
Edge +3.8%
Expected value +7.4%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 13, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New Jersey Devils

5 / 5 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

44:56 together · 5 games

xG share58.8%
Corsi for / against
54 / 28
Fenwick for / against
38 / 18
Corsi share
65.9%
Fenwick share
67.9%
xG for / against
2.18 / 1.53
Defense pair

74:09 together · 5 games

xG share57.2%
Corsi for / against
99 / 51
Fenwick for / against
70 / 38
Corsi share
66.0%
Fenwick share
64.8%
xG for / against
3.97 / 2.97
All observed combinations

Detroit Red Wings

5 / 5 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

49:35 together · 5 games

xG share61.8%
Corsi for / against
54 / 36
Fenwick for / against
36 / 21
Corsi share
60.0%
Fenwick share
63.2%
xG for / against
1.99 / 1.23
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

New Jersey Devils

Jake Allen 72.3%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jake Allen?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team played yesterday
+0.802
Goalie team start share
+0.635
Days since last start
+0.476
Started last game
+0.467
Goalie win pct before
+0.318
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 13, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Detroit Red Wings

John Gibson 65.1%
Other eligible goalies

Why John Gibson?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.940
Rolling 5 game avg save pct
-0.636
Prev save pct
-0.546
Team win pct before
+0.486
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.376
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 13, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Nico Daws

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 12

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
51
Save %
82.4
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
39.2

Daniil Tarasov

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 10

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
39
Save %
97.4
Goals allowed
1
Close-range shots %
12.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
3.48
xG against / game
2.97
xG differential / game
0.51

5 / 5 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.42
xG against / game
3.07
xG differential / game
0.35

5 / 5 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New Jersey Devils

5 / 5 games covered

Attempts / game
75.4
Corsi share (%)
61.4
Fenwick share (%)
58.7
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 36.2 · Shooting: 6.1% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft

Detroit Red Wings

5 / 5 games covered

Attempts / game
64.2
Corsi share (%)
53.7
Fenwick share (%)
53.7
Faceoff win %
50.3
Penalties / game
5.4

Shots / game: 32.8 · Shooting: 6.1% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New Jersey Devils NJD
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
16Points13
0.615Points %0.542
43Goals for33
38Goals against37
5Goal differential-4
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
New Jersey Devils NJD road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
5Games7
2Wins3
4Points7
-6Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
New Jersey Devils NJD
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
7-3-0Record5-2-3
14Points13
37Goals for31
25Goals against32
12Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New Jersey Devils NJD 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 4 wins
Total goals31 – 33
Goal differential -2 / +2
Goals per game3.1 / 3.3
Shots per game28.9 / 28.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 11, 2026
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 3 33 - 28 View
Mar 8, 2026
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 0 30 - 31 View
Nov 24, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 4 35 - 20 View
Apr 16, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
5 - 2 27 - 30 View
Nov 29, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 4 29 - 28 View
Oct 24, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 5 40 - 20 View
Dec 23, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
2 - 3 24 - 36 View
Nov 22, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
0 - 4 16 - 28 View
Oct 12, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 4 35 - 27 View
Jan 4, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 1 27 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NJD DET