Away team
Montréal Canadiens
48.1%
Fair American
+108
Fair decimal
2.08
Montréal Canadiens vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 3, 2027
NHL matchup
Montréal Canadiens at Seattle Kraken
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 3, 2027.
February 3, 2027
· 8:40 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Seattle Kraken at 51.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Seattle Kraken
51.9%
Fair American
-108
Fair decimal
1.93
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 3, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 3.39
- ROI
- 48.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.83
- ROI
- 27.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 15.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 2.88
- ROI
- 57.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 5-5
- Net units
- 1.57
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.59
- ROI
- 79.6%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
82:28 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 45
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 35
- Corsi share
- 68.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.26 / 1.88
Defense pair
108:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 165 / 82
- Fenwick for / against
- 127 / 61
- Corsi share
- 66.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.88 / 4.78
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
81:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 86 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 61
- Corsi share
- 48.9%
- Fenwick share
- 50.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.48 / 3.40
Defense pair
152:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 117 / 221
- Fenwick for / against
- 81 / 162
- Corsi share
- 34.6%
- Fenwick share
- 33.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.10 / 8.52
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Montréal Canadiens
Expected starter unavailable.
Seattle Kraken
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jacob Fowler
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 93.7
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Joey Daccord
Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 162
- Save %
- 87.0
- Goals allowed
- 21
- Close-range shots %
- 34.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.47
- xG against / game
- 3.11
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Seattle Kraken
- xG for / game
- 2.74
- xG against / game
- 3.63
- xG differential / game
- -0.89
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.5
- Faceoff win %
- 52.8
- Penalties / game
- 5.5
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 42.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 43.4
- Faceoff win %
- 52.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
SEA
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 15 |
| 0.636 | Points % | 0.625 |
| 36 | Goals for | 45 |
| 36 | Goals against | 42 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 3 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
MTL road
|
Metric |
SEA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 5 |
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 0 |
Last 10 games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
SEA
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 12 | Points | 13 |
| 33 | Goals for | 38 |
| 34 | Goals against | 38 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MTL
5 wins
10
games reviewed
SEA
5 wins
Total goals32 – 38
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game3.2 / 3.8
Shots per game23.9 / 30.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Seattle Kraken
|
4 - 3 | 21 - 21 | View |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 5 | 22 - 22 | View |
| Mar 12, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Seattle Kraken
|
4 - 5 | 25 - 35 | View |
| Oct 29, 2024 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
8 - 2 | 23 - 30 | View |
| Mar 24, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Seattle Kraken
|
5 - 1 | 17 - 37 | View |
| Dec 4, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 4 | 33 - 30 | View |
| Jan 9, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 0 | 41 - 21 | View |
| Dec 6, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Seattle Kraken
|
4 - 2 | 16 - 33 | View |
| Mar 12, 2022 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 3 | 34 - 33 | View |
| Oct 26, 2021 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Seattle Kraken
|
1 - 5 | 24 - 26 | View |