Away team
Montréal Canadiens
44.7%
Fair American
+124
Fair decimal
2.24
Montréal Canadiens vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 1, 2027
NHL matchup
Montréal Canadiens at San Jose Sharks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 1, 2027.
March 1, 2027
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
San Jose Sharks at 55.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
San Jose Sharks
55.3%
Fair American
-124
Fair decimal
1.81
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 1, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 3.39
- ROI
- 48.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.83
- ROI
- 27.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 15.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 1.45
- ROI
- 48.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 1.66
- ROI
- 20.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.89
- ROI
- 89.3%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
82:28 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 45
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 35
- Corsi share
- 68.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.26 / 1.88
Defense pair
108:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 165 / 82
- Fenwick for / against
- 127 / 61
- Corsi share
- 66.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.88 / 4.78
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
63:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 36
- Corsi share
- 59.8%
- Fenwick share
- 62.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.69 / 2.73
Defense pair
136:17 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 116 / 148
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 103
- Corsi share
- 43.9%
- Fenwick share
- 44.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.90 / 5.98
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Montréal Canadiens
Expected starter unavailable.
San Jose Sharks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jacob Fowler
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 93.7
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Alex Nedeljkovic
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 155
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 31.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.47
- xG against / game
- 3.11
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 2.97
- xG against / game
- 3.98
- xG differential / game
- -1.01
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.5
- Faceoff win %
- 52.8
- Penalties / game
- 5.5
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.1
- Faceoff win %
- 47.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 13 |
| 0.636 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 36 | Goals for | 37 |
| 36 | Goals against | 43 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
MTL road
|
Metric |
SJS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 4 |
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| 33 | Goals for | 28 |
| 34 | Goals against | 36 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MTL
5 wins
10
games reviewed
SJS
5 wins
Total goals30 – 31
Goal differential
-1
/
+1
Goals per game3.0 / 3.1
Shots per game30.2 / 31.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 3 | 30 - 34 | View |
| Mar 14, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 2 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
San Jose Sharks
|
5 - 7 | 37 - 28 | View |
| Feb 27, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 33 | View |
| Feb 4, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 3 | 20 - 30 | View |
| Jan 11, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 2 | 35 - 35 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 2 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Feb 28, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 1 | 32 - 39 | View |
| Nov 29, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 0 | 24 - 28 | View |
| Oct 28, 2021 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 0 | 32 - 45 | View |