Montréal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 11, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators matchup on March 11, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Ottawa Senators a 59.2% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Ottawa Senators
(59.2%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 11, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Montréal Canadiens
40.8%
Fair American: +145
Fair Decimal: 2.45
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 99 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.604 |
| 283 | Goals For | 278 |
| 256 | Goals Against | 246 |
| 27 | Goal Differential | 32 |
| L1 | Current Streak | W1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
MTL (Road)
|
Metric |
OTT (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 23 |
| 56 | Points | 52 |
| 17 | Goal Differential | 31 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 14 | Points | 13 |
| 28 | Goals For | 36 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 4 | Goal Differential | 10 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
MTL
|
H2H Summary |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 5-5 |
| 36 | Total Goals | 39 |
| -3 | Goal Differential | +3 |
| 3.6 | Goals / Game | 3.9 |
| 24.7 | Shots / Game | 30.0 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
6 - 5 | 19 - 34 | View |
| Dec 2, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
5 - 2 | 29 - 22 | View |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
3 - 4 | 17 - 27 | View |
| Apr 11, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
2 - 5 | 22 - 34 | View |
| Mar 18, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
3 - 6 | 25 - 33 | View |
| Feb 22, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
5 - 2 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Oct 12, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
4 - 5 | 25 - 44 | View |
| Jan 23, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
4 - 1 | 28 - 25 | View |
| Jan 18, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
2 - 6 | 23 - 37 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.