Away team
Montréal Canadiens
40.6%
Fair American
+146
Fair decimal
2.46
Montréal Canadiens vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 19, 2026
NHL matchup
Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 19, 2026.
December 19, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Minnesota Wild at 59.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Minnesota Wild
59.4%
Fair American
-146
Fair decimal
1.68
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 19, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 3.39
- ROI
- 48.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.83
- ROI
- 27.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 15.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 2.96
- ROI
- 42.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 7-2
- Net units
- 2.61
- ROI
- 29.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
82:28 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 45
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 35
- Corsi share
- 68.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.26 / 1.88
Defense pair
108:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 165 / 82
- Fenwick for / against
- 127 / 61
- Corsi share
- 66.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.88 / 4.78
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
122:28 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 150 / 75
- Fenwick for / against
- 116 / 59
- Corsi share
- 66.7%
- Fenwick share
- 66.3%
- xG for / against
- 9.98 / 3.91
Defense pair
95:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 119 / 65
- Fenwick for / against
- 93 / 44
- Corsi share
- 64.7%
- Fenwick share
- 67.9%
- xG for / against
- 7.35 / 3.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Montréal Canadiens
Expected starter unavailable.
Minnesota Wild
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jacob Fowler
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 93.7
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Calvin Pickard
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 25
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 42
- Save %
- 83.3
- Goals allowed
- 7
- Close-range shots %
- 23.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.47
- xG against / game
- 3.11
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.95
- xG against / game
- 2.76
- xG differential / game
- 1.20
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.5
- Faceoff win %
- 52.8
- Penalties / game
- 5.5
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.4
- Faceoff win %
- 51.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 32.7 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 18 |
| 0.636 | Points % | 0.692 |
| 36 | Goals for | 41 |
| 36 | Goals against | 30 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 11 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
MTL road
|
Metric |
MIN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 4 |
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 8 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 12 | Points | 13 |
| 33 | Goals for | 32 |
| 34 | Goals against | 25 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MTL
1 wins
10
games reviewed
MIN
9 wins
Total goals16 – 40
Goal differential
-24
/
+24
Goals per game1.6 / 4.0
Shots per game25.3 / 28.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 4 | 20 - 24 | View |
| Jan 20, 2026 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 4 | 19 - 33 | View |
| Jan 30, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 0 | 27 - 19 | View |
| Nov 14, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Minnesota Wild
|
0 - 3 | 19 - 28 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 4 | 25 - 24 | View |
| Oct 17, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 2 | 35 - 28 | View |
| Nov 1, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 4 | 35 - 31 | View |
| Oct 25, 2022 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 1 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Apr 19, 2022 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 0 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Jan 24, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 8 | 21 - 39 | View |