Away team
Montréal Canadiens
56.1%
Fair American
-128
Fair decimal
1.78
Montréal Canadiens vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 24, 2027
NHL matchup
Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 24, 2027.
February 24, 2027
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Montréal Canadiens at 56.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Los Angeles Kings
43.9%
Fair American
+128
Fair decimal
2.28
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 24, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 3.39
- ROI
- 48.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.83
- ROI
- 27.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 15.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 0-2
- Net units
- -2.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 1-4
- Net units
- -2.64
- ROI
- -52.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.11
- ROI
- -5.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
82:28 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 45
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 35
- Corsi share
- 68.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.26 / 1.88
Defense pair
108:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 165 / 82
- Fenwick for / against
- 127 / 61
- Corsi share
- 66.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.88 / 4.78
Los Angeles Kings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
59:01 together · 5 games
- Corsi for / against
- 74 / 52
- Fenwick for / against
- 53 / 42
- Corsi share
- 58.7%
- Fenwick share
- 55.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.09 / 2.79
Defense pair
82:34 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 116 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 47
- Corsi share
- 61.4%
- Fenwick share
- 62.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.89 / 2.65
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Montréal Canadiens
Expected starter unavailable.
Los Angeles Kings
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jacob Fowler
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 93.7
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Darcy Kuemper
Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 140
- Save %
- 91.4
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 30.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 24, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.47
- xG against / game
- 3.11
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Los Angeles Kings
- xG for / game
- 2.77
- xG against / game
- 2.93
- xG differential / game
- -0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 24, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.5
- Faceoff win %
- 52.8
- Penalties / game
- 5.5
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft
Los Angeles Kings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 49.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
LAK
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 8 |
| 0.636 | Points % | 0.400 |
| 36 | Goals for | 27 |
| 36 | Goals against | 35 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -8 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
MTL road
|
Metric |
LAK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 3 |
| 3 | Wins | 0 |
| 7 | Points | 0 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -7 |
Last 10 games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
LAK
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 3-5-2 |
| 12 | Points | 8 |
| 33 | Goals for | 27 |
| 34 | Goals against | 35 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MTL
1 wins
10
games reviewed
LAK
9 wins
Total goals17 – 41
Goal differential
-24
/
+24
Goals per game1.7 / 4.1
Shots per game24.1 / 34.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
4 - 3 | 23 - 39 | View |
| Nov 11, 2025 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 1 | 26 - 22 | View |
| Feb 5, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
3 - 6 | 21 - 37 | View |
| Oct 17, 2024 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 1 | 32 - 27 | View |
| Dec 7, 2023 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 0 | 42 - 24 | View |
| Nov 25, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
0 - 4 | 18 - 30 | View |
| Mar 2, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
2 - 3 | 21 - 33 | View |
| Dec 10, 2022 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 2 | 35 - 22 | View |
| Nov 9, 2021 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 2 | 34 - 35 | View |
| Oct 30, 2021 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
2 - 5 | 28 - 38 | View |