Forward trio
73:05 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 77 / 62
- Fenwick for / against
- 51 / 39
- Corsi share
- 55.4%
- Fenwick share
- 56.7%
- xG for / against
- 3.55 / 2.92
Montréal Canadiens vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 19, 2026
NHL matchup
Montréal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 19, 2026.
March 19, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
78:46 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 79 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 61
- Corsi share
- 48.8%
- Fenwick share
- 51.6%
- xG for / against
- 3.97 / 5.40
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
51:28 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 57 / 49
- Fenwick for / against
- 39 / 35
- Corsi share
- 53.8%
- Fenwick share
- 52.7%
- xG for / against
- 2.78 / 2.03
Defense pair
169:47 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 162 / 166
- Fenwick for / against
- 125 / 117
- Corsi share
- 49.4%
- Fenwick share
- 51.7%
- xG for / against
- 9.52 / 8.52
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jakub Dobes
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Mar 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 88.7
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 32.3
John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Mar 16
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 128
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 25.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.74
- xG against / game
- 3.47
- xG differential / game
- 0.27
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.04
- xG against / game
- 3.08
- xG differential / game
- -0.04
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.4
- Faceoff win %
- 52.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 28.1 · Shooting: 13.2% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 13 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 38 | Goals for | 33 |
| 36 | Goals against | 37 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -4 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
MTL road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 5-2-3 |
| 13 | Points | 13 |
| 30 | Goals for | 31 |
| 28 | Goals against | 32 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MTL
5 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
5 wins
Total goals35 – 31
Goal differential
+4
/
-4
Goals per game3.5 / 3.1
Shots per game26.2 / 32.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 0 | 24 - 27 | View |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 1 | 17 - 31 | View |
| Apr 8, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
1 - 4 | 36 - 21 | View |
| Jan 23, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 4 | 29 - 45 | View |
| Dec 21, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
1 - 5 | 21 - 24 | View |
| Dec 20, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 3 | 33 - 28 | View |
| Apr 16, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 4 | 40 - 33 | View |
| Apr 15, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 5 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Dec 2, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 4 | 33 - 30 | View |
| Nov 9, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 29 | View |