Away team
Montréal Canadiens
40.8%
Fair American
+145
Fair decimal
2.45
Montréal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 19, 2026
NHL matchup
Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 19, 2026.
November 19, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Carolina Hurricanes at 59.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Carolina Hurricanes
59.2%
Fair American
-145
Fair decimal
1.69
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 19, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 3.39
- ROI
- 48.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.83
- ROI
- 27.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 15.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 9-3
- Net units
- 2.25
- ROI
- 18.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.35
- ROI
- -17.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 14
- Record
- 10-4
- Net units
- 1.55
- ROI
- 11.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 107 / 48
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 38
- Corsi share
- 69.0%
- Fenwick share
- 66.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.82 / 1.98
Defense pair
113:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 167 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 132 / 61
- Corsi share
- 66.8%
- Fenwick share
- 68.4%
- xG for / against
- 8.36 / 4.82
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
109:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 143 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 107 / 61
- Corsi share
- 62.7%
- Fenwick share
- 63.7%
- xG for / against
- 6.55 / 3.53
Defense pair
164:37 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 176 / 119
- Fenwick for / against
- 130 / 81
- Corsi share
- 59.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.6%
- xG for / against
- 8.35 / 6.22
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Montréal Canadiens
Expected starter unavailable.
Carolina Hurricanes
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jacob Fowler
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 94.4
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 33.6
Pyotr Kochetkov
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 101
- Save %
- 92.1
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 40.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.40
- xG against / game
- 3.23
- xG differential / game
- 0.17
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.95
- xG against / game
- 2.37
- xG differential / game
- 1.58
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.7
- Faceoff win %
- 51.3
- Penalties / game
- 5.2
Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 59.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 60.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 22 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.786 |
| 38 | Goals for | 53 |
| 36 | Goals against | 34 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 19 |
| W3 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
MTL road
|
Metric |
CAR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 5 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 5 | Goal differential | 4 |
Last 10 games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 8-1-1 |
| 13 | Points | 17 |
| 30 | Goals for | 42 |
| 28 | Goals against | 22 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 20 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MTL
5 wins
10
games reviewed
CAR
5 wins
Total goals32 – 32
Goal differential
0
/
0
Goals per game3.2 / 3.2
Shots per game20.7 / 31.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
6 - 4 | 34 - 20 | View |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 1 | 18 - 35 | View |
| Mar 24, 2026 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 5 | 43 - 19 | View |
| Jan 1, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
7 - 5 | 23 - 25 | View |
| Apr 16, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 4 | 29 - 22 | View |
| Mar 28, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 4 | 15 - 24 | View |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
0 - 4 | 20 - 18 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 0 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 39 | View |
| Dec 28, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 5 | 21 - 31 | View |