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Minnesota Wild vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 13, 2026

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 13, 2026.

October 13, 2026 · 7:15 PM CST
Away

Minnesota Wild

8-3-2

2
Final
Home

Winnipeg Jets

4-4-3

5 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Winnipeg Jets at 50.7% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Minnesota Wild logo
Away team

Minnesota Wild

49.3%
Fair American +103
Fair decimal 2.03
Best market -105 · DraftKings
Market implied 51.2%
Edge -1.9%
Expected value -3.7%
Calculate value
Winnipeg Jets logo
Home team

Winnipeg Jets

50.7%
Fair American -103
Fair decimal 1.97
Best market -108 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 51.9%
Edge -1.2%
Expected value -2.4%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 13, 2026.

Minnesota Wild

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
3-0
Net units
2.15
ROI
71.8%

Value Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
0.64
ROI
21.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
3-1
Net units
1.15
ROI
28.8%
Full team betting results

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%

Value Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
2.18
ROI
72.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
0-2
Net units
-2.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

6 / 6 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

93:02 together · 6 games

xG share61.6%
Corsi for / against
108 / 79
Fenwick for / against
81 / 60
Corsi share
57.8%
Fenwick share
57.4%
xG for / against
5.06 / 3.16
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

5 / 5 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

68:56 together · 5 games

xG share53.5%
Corsi for / against
82 / 77
Fenwick for / against
67 / 59
Corsi share
51.6%
Fenwick share
53.2%
xG for / against
4.14 / 3.60
Defense pair

42:41 together · 5 games

xG share37.8%
Corsi for / against
34 / 58
Fenwick for / against
29 / 42
Corsi share
37.0%
Fenwick share
40.8%
xG for / against
1.33 / 2.19
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Minnesota Wild

Calvin Pickard 92.6%
Other eligible goalies

Why Calvin Pickard?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team played yesterday
+1.300
Goalie team start share
-0.752
Started last game
+0.358
Won previous appearance
+0.206
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
-0.204
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 13, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Winnipeg Jets

Stuart Skinner 89.3%
Other eligible goalies

Why Stuart Skinner?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.855
Started last game
+0.332
Goalie win pct before
+0.305
Days since last start
+0.290
Won previous appearance
+0.245
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 13, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
143
Save %
93.0
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
36.4

Clay Stevenson

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 9

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
47
Save %
87.2
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
40.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.02
xG against / game
3.01
xG differential / game
0.01

6 / 6 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.73
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
-0.38

5 / 5 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

6 / 6 games covered

Attempts / game
57.8
Corsi share (%)
49.6
Fenwick share (%)
50.6
Faceoff win %
52.3
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Winnipeg Jets

5 / 5 games covered

Attempts / game
56.8
Corsi share (%)
46.7
Fenwick share (%)
46.5
Faceoff win %
46.1
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
18Points11
0.692Points %0.500
41Goals for27
30Goals against31
11Goal differential-4
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
9Games6
4Wins2
10Points5
4Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
6-3-1Record4-4-2
13Points10
32Goals for24
25Goals against27
7Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 8 wins
Total goals21 – 37
Goal differential -16 / +16
Goals per game2.1 / 3.7
Shots per game30.0 / 28.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 15, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
6 - 2 29 - 34 View
Dec 27, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 3 19 - 26 View
Nov 23, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 0 30 - 32 View
Oct 28, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 3 21 - 35 View
Dec 21, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
0 - 5 19 - 24 View
Nov 25, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 1 32 - 44 View
Oct 13, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 27 - 35 View
Apr 6, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 2 25 - 27 View
Feb 20, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 6 39 - 30 View
Dec 31, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 2 29 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings MIN WPG