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Minnesota Wild vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 21, 2026

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 21, 2026.

November 21, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 55.8%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Minnesota Wild logo
Away team

Minnesota Wild

55.8%
Fair American -126
Fair decimal 1.79
Calculate value
Vancouver Canucks logo
Home team

Vancouver Canucks

44.2%
Fair American +126
Fair decimal 2.26
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 21, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

122:28 together · 10 games

xG share71.8%
Corsi for / against
150 / 75
Fenwick for / against
116 / 59
Corsi share
66.7%
Fenwick share
66.3%
xG for / against
9.98 / 3.91
Defense pair

95:23 together · 10 games

xG share67.5%
Corsi for / against
119 / 65
Fenwick for / against
93 / 44
Corsi share
64.7%
Fenwick share
67.9%
xG for / against
7.35 / 3.54
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

89:40 together · 10 games

xG share33.0%
Corsi for / against
62 / 102
Fenwick for / against
41 / 78
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
34.5%
xG for / against
2.98 / 6.05
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Calvin Pickard

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 25

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
42
Save %
83.3
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
23.8

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
188
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
37.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.95
xG against / game
2.76
xG differential / game
1.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.09
xG against / game
4.36
xG differential / game
-2.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.5
Corsi share (%)
54.9
Fenwick share (%)
57.4
Faceoff win %
51.4
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 32.7 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
43.8
Corsi share (%)
40.6
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
47.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
18Points5
0.692Points %0.192
41Goals for37
30Goals against60
11Goal differential-23
W2Current streakL4
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
9Games6
4Wins1
10Points2
4Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
6-3-1Record0-9-1
13Points1
32Goals for20
25Goals against45
7Goal differential-25
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 3 wins
Total goals35 – 27
Goal differential +8 / -8
Goals per game3.5 / 2.7
Shots per game31.5 / 24.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 25, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 2 34 - 17 View
Apr 2, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 5 32 - 39 View
Dec 6, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 4 30 - 20 View
Nov 1, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 5 28 - 28 View
Apr 12, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 33 - 14 View
Mar 7, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 3 38 - 20 View
Dec 3, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 3 32 - 29 View
Feb 19, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
7 - 10 24 - 27 View
Dec 16, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 2 36 - 31 View
Dec 7, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
0 - 2 26 - 17 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.