Away team
Minnesota Wild
65.0%
Fair American
-186
Fair decimal
1.54
Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 12, 2026.
November 12, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Minnesota Wild
at 65.0%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Toronto Maple Leafs
35.0%
Fair American
+186
Fair decimal
2.86
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MIN
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 104 | Points | 78 |
| 0.634 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 272 | Goals for | 253 |
| 240 | Goals against | 299 |
| 32 | Goal differential | -46 |
| W1 | Current streak | L5 |
Road versus home
|
MIN road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 23 | Wins | 18 |
| 50 | Points | 44 |
| 17 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
MIN
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 12 | Points | 5 |
| 36 | Goals for | 28 |
| 32 | Goals against | 47 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -19 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MIN
4 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
6 wins
Total goals29 – 32
Goal differential
-3
/
+3
Goals per game2.9 / 3.2
Shots per game32.5 / 29.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 2 | 26 - 38 | View |
| Jan 19, 2026 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
6 - 3 | 38 - 30 | View |
| Jan 29, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 1 | 25 - 33 | View |
| Nov 3, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 2 | 28 - 33 | View |
| Nov 19, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 3 | 25 - 36 | View |
| Oct 14, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 7 | 32 - 33 | View |
| Feb 24, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 24 | View |
| Nov 25, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 3 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Feb 24, 2022 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 3 | 30 - 25 | View |
| Dec 4, 2021 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 4 | 42 - 40 | View |