Forward trio
100:57 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 92
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 69
- Corsi share
- 53.1%
- Fenwick share
- 53.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 3.71
Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 19, 2026
NHL matchup
Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 19, 2026.
January 19, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
181:43 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 203 / 162
- Fenwick for / against
- 139 / 120
- Corsi share
- 55.6%
- Fenwick share
- 53.7%
- xG for / against
- 8.74 / 7.15
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
86:11 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 74 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 56 / 73
- Corsi share
- 44.0%
- Fenwick share
- 43.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.06 / 4.93
Defense pair
82:06 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 72 / 100
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 68
- Corsi share
- 41.9%
- Fenwick share
- 40.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.29 / 4.15
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Filip Gustavsson
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Jan 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Dennis Hildeby
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Jan 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 32.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.45
- xG against / game
- 2.95
- xG differential / game
- 0.50
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 2.90
- xG against / game
- 3.51
- xG differential / game
- -0.61
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 66.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.4
- Faceoff win %
- 47.1
- Penalties / game
- 2.7
Shots / game: 31.0 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 43.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.0
- Faceoff win %
- 57.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 14.2% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MIN
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 16 |
| 0.692 | Points % | 0.571 |
| 41 | Goals for | 52 |
| 30 | Goals against | 46 |
| 11 | Goal differential | 6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
MIN road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 8 |
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 10 | Points | 9 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -1 |
Last 10 games
|
MIN
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 13 | Points | 12 |
| 32 | Goals for | 41 |
| 25 | Goals against | 35 |
| 7 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MIN
3 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
7 wins
Total goals24 – 33
Goal differential
-9
/
+9
Goals per game2.4 / 3.3
Shots per game30.5 / 30.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 1 | 25 - 33 | View |
| Nov 3, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 2 | 28 - 33 | View |
| Nov 19, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 3 | 25 - 36 | View |
| Oct 14, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 7 | 32 - 33 | View |
| Feb 24, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 24 | View |
| Nov 25, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 3 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Feb 24, 2022 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 3 | 30 - 25 | View |
| Dec 4, 2021 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 4 | 42 - 40 | View |
| Dec 31, 2019 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 27 | View |
| Oct 15, 2019 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 4 | 29 - 34 | View |