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Minnesota Wild vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 27, 2027

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 27, 2027.

February 27, 2027 · 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: St. Louis Blues at 52.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Home team

St. Louis Blues

52.4%
Fair American -110
Fair decimal 1.91
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 27, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

122:28 together · 10 games

xG share71.8%
Corsi for / against
150 / 75
Fenwick for / against
116 / 59
Corsi share
66.7%
Fenwick share
66.3%
xG for / against
9.98 / 3.91
Defense pair

95:23 together · 10 games

xG share67.5%
Corsi for / against
119 / 65
Fenwick for / against
93 / 44
Corsi share
64.7%
Fenwick share
67.9%
xG for / against
7.35 / 3.54
All observed combinations

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

113:14 together · 10 games

xG share49.2%
Corsi for / against
104 / 102
Fenwick for / against
75 / 86
Corsi share
50.5%
Fenwick share
46.6%
xG for / against
5.79 / 5.98
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Calvin Pickard

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 25

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
42
Save %
83.3
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
23.8

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
157
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
34.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.95
xG against / game
2.76
xG differential / game
1.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.90
xG against / game
2.82
xG differential / game
0.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.5
Corsi share (%)
54.9
Fenwick share (%)
57.4
Faceoff win %
51.6
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 32.7 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.5
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
47.5
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
18Points11
0.692Points %0.500
41Goals for35
30Goals against35
11Goal differential0
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
9Games5
4Wins3
10Points7
4Goal differential2
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
6-3-1Record4-5-1
13Points9
32Goals for31
25Goals against35
7Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 5 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 5 wins
Total goals35 – 33
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game3.5 / 3.3
Shots per game27.0 / 27.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 15, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 5 25 - 38 View
Apr 13, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 6 31 - 22 View
Mar 1, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 1 24 - 23 View
Oct 9, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 0 21 - 26 View
Mar 15, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
5 - 1 28 - 18 View
Jan 7, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 6 33 - 26 View
Nov 19, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 2 28 - 24 View
Oct 15, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 1 27 - 28 View
Mar 23, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
5 - 4 27 - 34 View
Mar 16, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 24 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.