Away team
Minnesota Wild
50.2%
Fair American
-101
Fair decimal
1.99
Minnesota Wild vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 16, 2027
NHL matchup
Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 16, 2027.
January 16, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Minnesota Wild at 50.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
St. Louis Blues
49.8%
Fair American
+101
Fair decimal
2.01
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 16, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 2.96
- ROI
- 42.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 7-2
- Net units
- 2.61
- ROI
- 29.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 1.60
- ROI
- 53.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.70
- ROI
- 34.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 2-3
- Net units
- -1.49
- ROI
- -29.7%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
122:28 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 150 / 75
- Fenwick for / against
- 116 / 59
- Corsi share
- 66.7%
- Fenwick share
- 66.3%
- xG for / against
- 9.98 / 3.91
Defense pair
95:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 119 / 65
- Fenwick for / against
- 93 / 44
- Corsi share
- 64.7%
- Fenwick share
- 67.9%
- xG for / against
- 7.35 / 3.54
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
108:27 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 98 / 106
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 81
- Corsi share
- 48.0%
- Fenwick share
- 46.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 5.02
Defense pair
113:14 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 86
- Corsi share
- 50.5%
- Fenwick share
- 46.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.79 / 5.98
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Minnesota Wild
Expected starter unavailable.
St. Louis Blues
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Calvin Pickard
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 25
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 42
- Save %
- 83.3
- Goals allowed
- 7
- Close-range shots %
- 23.8
Joel Hofer
St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 157
- Save %
- 91.1
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 34.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.95
- xG against / game
- 2.76
- xG differential / game
- 1.20
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
St. Louis Blues
- xG for / game
- 2.90
- xG against / game
- 2.82
- xG differential / game
- 0.08
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.4
- Faceoff win %
- 51.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 32.7 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.9
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MIN
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 11 |
| 0.692 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 41 | Goals for | 35 |
| 30 | Goals against | 35 |
| 11 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
MIN road
|
Metric |
STL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 5 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 10 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 2 |
Last 10 games
|
MIN
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 13 | Points | 9 |
| 32 | Goals for | 31 |
| 25 | Goals against | 35 |
| 7 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MIN
5 wins
10
games reviewed
STL
5 wins
Total goals35 – 33
Goal differential
+2
/
-2
Goals per game3.5 / 3.3
Shots per game27.0 / 27.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 5 | 25 - 38 | View |
| Apr 13, 2026 |
Minnesota Wild
at
St. Louis Blues
|
3 - 6 | 31 - 22 | View |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 1 | 24 - 23 | View |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
St. Louis Blues
|
5 - 0 | 21 - 26 | View |
| Mar 15, 2025 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Minnesota Wild
|
5 - 1 | 28 - 18 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 6 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Nov 19, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
St. Louis Blues
|
4 - 2 | 28 - 24 | View |
| Oct 15, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
St. Louis Blues
|
4 - 1 | 27 - 28 | View |
| Mar 23, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Minnesota Wild
|
5 - 4 | 27 - 34 | View |
| Mar 16, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
St. Louis Blues
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 37 | View |