Forward trio
67:23 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 92 / 50
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 43
- Corsi share
- 64.8%
- Fenwick share
- 60.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.23 / 2.46
Minnesota Wild vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 4, 2026
NHL matchup
Minnesota Wild at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 4, 2026.
April 4, 2026
· 12:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
129:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 152 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 112 / 74
- Corsi share
- 59.1%
- Fenwick share
- 60.2%
- xG for / against
- 7.90 / 4.69
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:08 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 77 / 50
- Corsi share
- 57.6%
- Fenwick share
- 60.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.00 / 3.37
Defense pair
78:59 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 46
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 38
- Corsi share
- 67.1%
- Fenwick share
- 64.5%
- xG for / against
- 4.45 / 2.87
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Filip Gustavsson
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Apr 2
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 141
- Save %
- 89.4
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 29.8
Linus Ullmark
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Apr 2
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 89.8
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 30.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.46
- xG against / game
- 2.63
- xG differential / game
- 0.83
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.44
- xG against / game
- 2.84
- xG differential / game
- 0.60
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 55.1
- Faceoff win %
- 49.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 7.7% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.3
- Faceoff win %
- 56.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MIN
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 16 |
| 0.692 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 41 | Goals for | 38 |
| 30 | Goals against | 34 |
| 11 | Goal differential | 4 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
MIN road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
MIN
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 13 | Points | 12 |
| 32 | Goals for | 31 |
| 25 | Goals against | 31 |
| 7 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MIN
6 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
4 wins
Total goals31 – 29
Goal differential
+2
/
-2
Goals per game3.1 / 2.9
Shots per game30.0 / 34.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 36 - 25 | View |
| Feb 1, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 6 | 16 - 52 | View |
| Dec 29, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 1 | 37 - 31 | View |
| Apr 2, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 32 - 19 | View |
| Nov 18, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Dec 18, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 23 | View |
| Oct 27, 2022 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 2 | 40 - 29 | View |
| Feb 22, 2022 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 4 | 43 - 34 | View |
| Nov 2, 2021 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 5 | 28 - 43 | View |
| Nov 29, 2019 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 7 | 35 - 35 | View |