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Minnesota Wild vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 13, 2027

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 13, 2027.

February 13, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 57.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Minnesota Wild logo
Away team

Minnesota Wild

57.0%
Fair American -133
Fair decimal 1.75
Calculate value
New York Islanders logo
Home team

New York Islanders

43.0%
Fair American +133
Fair decimal 2.33
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 13, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

122:28 together · 10 games

xG share71.8%
Corsi for / against
150 / 75
Fenwick for / against
116 / 59
Corsi share
66.7%
Fenwick share
66.3%
xG for / against
9.98 / 3.91
Defense pair

95:23 together · 10 games

xG share67.5%
Corsi for / against
119 / 65
Fenwick for / against
93 / 44
Corsi share
64.7%
Fenwick share
67.9%
xG for / against
7.35 / 3.54
All observed combinations

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

54:55 together · 7 games

xG share46.9%
Corsi for / against
51 / 56
Fenwick for / against
37 / 43
Corsi share
47.7%
Fenwick share
46.3%
xG for / against
2.96 / 3.35
Defense pair

121:23 together · 10 games

xG share56.3%
Corsi for / against
126 / 86
Fenwick for / against
86 / 63
Corsi share
59.4%
Fenwick share
57.7%
xG for / against
5.72 / 4.44
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Calvin Pickard

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 25

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
42
Save %
83.3
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
23.8

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
28.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.95
xG against / game
2.76
xG differential / game
1.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.97
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.5
Corsi share (%)
54.9
Fenwick share (%)
57.4
Faceoff win %
51.6
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 32.7 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.0
Corsi share (%)
49.2
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
56.0
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
18Points12
0.692Points %0.545
41Goals for32
30Goals against29
11Goal differential3
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
9Games6
4Wins4
10Points9
4Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
6-3-1Record5-3-2
13Points12
32Goals for31
25Goals against27
7Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 8 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 2 wins
Total goals38 – 21
Goal differential +17 / -17
Goals per game3.8 / 2.1
Shots per game32.1 / 29.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 10, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 3 27 - 36 View
Nov 7, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 2 26 - 27 View
Apr 4, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 3 28 - 27 View
Feb 8, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 6 35 - 33 View
Jan 15, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
0 - 5 21 - 40 View
Nov 7, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 2 31 - 29 View
Feb 28, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 2 40 - 31 View
Jan 12, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 1 36 - 20 View
Jan 30, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 21 - 43 View
Nov 7, 2021
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 5 21 - 39 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.