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Minnesota Wild vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 3, 2026

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 3, 2026.

December 3, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 53.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Minnesota Wild logo
Away team

Minnesota Wild

53.2%
Fair American -114
Fair decimal 1.88
Calculate value
Los Angeles Kings logo
Home team

Los Angeles Kings

46.8%
Fair American +114
Fair decimal 2.14
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 3, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

122:56 together · 10 games

xG share70.7%
Corsi for / against
156 / 79
Fenwick for / against
120 / 63
Corsi share
66.4%
Fenwick share
65.6%
xG for / against
9.91 / 4.10
Defense pair

95:18 together · 10 games

xG share68.4%
Corsi for / against
126 / 62
Fenwick for / against
98 / 42
Corsi share
67.0%
Fenwick share
70.0%
xG for / against
7.48 / 3.46
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

93:52 together · 9 games

xG share58.4%
Corsi for / against
128 / 98
Fenwick for / against
89 / 64
Corsi share
56.6%
Fenwick share
58.2%
xG for / against
5.49 / 3.92
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
120
Save %
92.5
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
31.7

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
90.2
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
24.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.93
xG against / game
2.71
xG differential / game
1.22

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.83
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
-0.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.7
Corsi share (%)
55.3
Fenwick share (%)
57.8
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 32.2 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.3
Corsi share (%)
48.8
Fenwick share (%)
49.0
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
20Points8
0.714Points %0.364
44Goals for28
31Goals against37
13Goal differential-9
W3Current streakL1
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
10Games3
5Wins0
12Points0
6Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
7-2-1Record3-5-2
15Points8
33Goals for24
23Goals against29
10Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 6 wins
Total goals23 – 37
Goal differential -14 / +14
Goals per game2.3 / 3.7
Shots per game26.9 / 30.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 5, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 4 35 - 33 View
Jan 3, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 5 28 - 38 View
Oct 13, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 4 34 - 26 View
Mar 17, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 3 29 - 22 View
Dec 7, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 4 23 - 34 View
Nov 5, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
5 - 1 28 - 24 View
Apr 15, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 1 28 - 24 View
Mar 20, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 6 31 - 27 View
Oct 19, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
7 - 3 27 - 32 View
Feb 21, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 2 34 - 20 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.