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Minnesota Wild vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 10, 2026

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 10, 2026.

October 10, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Away

Minnesota Wild

8-3-2

4
Final
Home

Florida Panthers

6-4-2

1 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Florida Panthers at 55.6% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Minnesota Wild logo
Away team

Minnesota Wild

44.4%
Fair American +125
Fair decimal 2.25
Best market +120 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 45.5%
Edge -1.1%
Expected value -2.3%
Calculate value
Florida Panthers logo
Home team

Florida Panthers

55.6%
Fair American -125
Fair decimal 1.8
Best market -134 · MyBookie.ag
Market implied 57.3%
Edge -1.7%
Expected value -2.9%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 10, 2026.

Minnesota Wild

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.23
ROI
61.4%

Value Picks

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
-0.29
ROI
-14.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
0.23
ROI
7.6%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

64:05 together · 4 games

xG share59.9%
Corsi for / against
81 / 57
Fenwick for / against
58 / 42
Corsi share
58.7%
Fenwick share
58.0%
xG for / against
3.70 / 2.48
All observed combinations

Florida Panthers

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

54:17 together · 4 games

xG share68.1%
Corsi for / against
43 / 27
Fenwick for / against
28 / 21
Corsi share
61.4%
Fenwick share
57.1%
xG for / against
1.79 / 0.84
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
110
Save %
92.7
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
33.6

Jacob Markstrom

Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 6

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
55
Save %
92.7
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
23.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
2.78
xG against / game
3.06
xG differential / game
-0.28

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.30
xG against / game
2.76
xG differential / game
0.54

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
56.2
Corsi share (%)
49.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
50.0
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 9.5% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft

Florida Panthers

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
64.5
Corsi share (%)
58.0
Fenwick share (%)
56.9
Faceoff win %
50.2
Penalties / game
5.5

Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 7.5% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA
18Points14
0.692Points %0.583
41Goals for34
30Goals against36
11Goal differential-2
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA home
9Games3
4Wins2
10Points4
4Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA
6-3-1Record5-4-1
13Points11
32Goals for30
25Goals against32
7Goal differential-2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Florida Panthers FLA 6 wins
Total goals30 – 35
Goal differential -5 / +5
Goals per game3.0 / 3.5
Shots per game29.2 / 32.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 26, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 2 50 - 20 View
Jan 24, 2026
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 3 34 - 21 View
Dec 18, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
6 - 1 33 - 27 View
Oct 22, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
5 - 1 22 - 25 View
Jan 19, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
6 - 4 26 - 35 View
Oct 12, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
0 - 2 41 - 21 View
Feb 13, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 1 34 - 28 View
Jan 21, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 5 32 - 27 View
Feb 18, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
6 - 2 36 - 26 View
Nov 20, 2021
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 5 39 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings MIN FLA