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Minnesota Wild vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 17, 2027

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 17, 2027.

January 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM CST
Away

Minnesota Wild

8-3-2

56.7% Model pick
at
Home

Detroit Red Wings

5-4-3

43.3%
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 56.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Minnesota Wild logo
Away team

Minnesota Wild

56.7%
Fair American -131
Fair decimal 1.76
Calculate value
Detroit Red Wings logo
Home team

Detroit Red Wings

43.3%
Fair American +131
Fair decimal 2.31
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 17, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

122:28 together · 10 games

xG share71.8%
Corsi for / against
150 / 75
Fenwick for / against
116 / 59
Corsi share
66.7%
Fenwick share
66.3%
xG for / against
9.98 / 3.91
Defense pair

95:23 together · 10 games

xG share67.5%
Corsi for / against
119 / 65
Fenwick for / against
93 / 44
Corsi share
64.7%
Fenwick share
67.9%
xG for / against
7.35 / 3.54
All observed combinations

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

112:48 together · 10 games

xG share51.4%
Corsi for / against
115 / 99
Fenwick for / against
80 / 60
Corsi share
53.7%
Fenwick share
57.1%
xG for / against
3.84 / 3.62
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Calvin Pickard

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 25

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
42
Save %
83.3
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
23.8

Michal Postava

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
36
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
27.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.95
xG against / game
2.76
xG differential / game
1.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.35
xG against / game
3.16
xG differential / game
0.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 17, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.5
Corsi share (%)
54.9
Fenwick share (%)
57.4
Faceoff win %
51.6
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 32.7 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.6
Corsi share (%)
52.2
Fenwick share (%)
52.9
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
18Points13
0.692Points %0.542
41Goals for33
30Goals against37
11Goal differential-4
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
9Games7
4Wins3
10Points7
4Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
6-3-1Record5-2-3
13Points13
32Goals for31
25Goals against32
7Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 3 wins
Total goals40 – 32
Goal differential +8 / -8
Goals per game4.0 / 3.2
Shots per game30.9 / 26.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 5, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 4 20 - 22 View
Jan 22, 2026
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 4 33 - 39 View
Feb 25, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 2 16 - 24 View
Feb 22, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 3 39 - 30 View
Dec 27, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 6 28 - 31 View
Nov 26, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 4 38 - 23 View
Dec 14, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 4 17 - 22 View
Oct 29, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 31 - 25 View
Mar 10, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 5 40 - 34 View
Feb 14, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 7 34 - 25 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings MIN DET