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Minnesota Wild vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 5, 2026

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 5, 2026.

April 5, 2026 · 12:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

125:42 together · 10 games

xG share59.3%
Corsi for / against
146 / 111
Fenwick for / against
108 / 81
Corsi share
56.8%
Fenwick share
57.1%
xG for / against
7.83 / 5.37
All observed combinations

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

73:00 together · 8 games

xG share41.3%
Corsi for / against
72 / 77
Fenwick for / against
50 / 49
Corsi share
48.3%
Fenwick share
50.5%
xG for / against
2.52 / 3.58
Defense pair

143:53 together · 10 games

xG share58.1%
Corsi for / against
146 / 100
Fenwick for / against
115 / 72
Corsi share
59.3%
Fenwick share
61.5%
xG for / against
6.71 / 4.83
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Apr 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
107
Save %
92.5
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
20.6

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Apr 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
118
Save %
88.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
33.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.43
xG against / game
2.62
xG differential / game
0.80

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.11
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-0.19

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
66.8
Corsi share (%)
53.4
Fenwick share (%)
54.7
Faceoff win %
48.1
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 8.3% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.0
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
50.6
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 34.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
18Points13
0.692Points %0.542
41Goals for33
30Goals against37
11Goal differential-4
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
9Games7
4Wins3
10Points7
4Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
6-3-1Record5-2-3
13Points13
32Goals for31
25Goals against32
7Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 3 wins
Total goals42 – 29
Goal differential +13 / -13
Goals per game4.2 / 2.9
Shots per game31.5 / 26.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 22, 2026
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 4 33 - 39 View
Feb 25, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 2 16 - 24 View
Feb 22, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 3 39 - 30 View
Dec 27, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 6 28 - 31 View
Nov 26, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 4 38 - 23 View
Dec 14, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 4 17 - 22 View
Oct 29, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 31 - 25 View
Mar 10, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 5 40 - 34 View
Feb 14, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 7 34 - 25 View
Feb 27, 2020
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
7 - 1 26 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.