Away team
Minnesota Wild
46.9%
Fair American
+113
Fair decimal
2.13
Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 3, 2027
NHL matchup
Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 3, 2027.
March 3, 2027
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Dallas Stars at 53.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Dallas Stars
53.1%
Fair American
-113
Fair decimal
1.88
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 3, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 2.96
- ROI
- 42.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 7-2
- Net units
- 2.61
- ROI
- 29.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.09
- ROI
- 3.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.55
- ROI
- 6.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
122:28 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 150 / 75
- Fenwick for / against
- 116 / 59
- Corsi share
- 66.7%
- Fenwick share
- 66.3%
- xG for / against
- 9.98 / 3.91
Defense pair
95:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 119 / 65
- Fenwick for / against
- 93 / 44
- Corsi share
- 64.7%
- Fenwick share
- 67.9%
- xG for / against
- 7.35 / 3.54
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
52:30 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 52 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 36 / 23
- Corsi share
- 54.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.76 / 0.94
Defense pair
96:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 48
- Corsi share
- 57.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.83 / 2.68
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Minnesota Wild
Expected starter unavailable.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Calvin Pickard
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 25
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 42
- Save %
- 83.3
- Goals allowed
- 7
- Close-range shots %
- 23.8
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 103
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 34.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.95
- xG against / game
- 2.76
- xG differential / game
- 1.20
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.33
- xG against / game
- 2.56
- xG differential / game
- 0.77
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.4
- Faceoff win %
- 51.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 32.7 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.7
- Faceoff win %
- 55.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MIN
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 15 |
| 0.692 | Points % | 0.682 |
| 41 | Goals for | 32 |
| 30 | Goals against | 20 |
| 11 | Goal differential | 12 |
| W2 | Current streak | W5 |
Road versus home
|
MIN road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 6 |
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 10 | Points | 8 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 5 |
Last 10 games
|
MIN
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 32 | Goals for | 32 |
| 25 | Goals against | 16 |
| 7 | Goal differential | 16 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MIN
4 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
6 wins
Total goals22 – 33
Goal differential
-11
/
+11
Goals per game2.2 / 3.3
Shots per game29.2 / 26.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 5 | 31 - 20 | View |
| Mar 21, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 28 | View |
| Dec 11, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 5 | 18 - 32 | View |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 5 | 41 - 25 | View |
| Apr 6, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 41 | View |
| Mar 24, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Dallas Stars
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 29 | View |
| Dec 27, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 2 | 18 - 29 | View |
| Nov 16, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 1 | 40 - 23 | View |
| Jan 10, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 7 | 23 - 34 | View |
| Jan 8, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 0 | 20 - 23 | View |