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Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 9, 2026

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 9, 2026.

April 9, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

127:52 together · 10 games

xG share54.0%
Corsi for / against
130 / 118
Fenwick for / against
97 / 86
Corsi share
52.4%
Fenwick share
53.0%
xG for / against
6.54 / 5.58
All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

117:36 together · 10 games

xG share41.1%
Corsi for / against
101 / 115
Fenwick for / against
69 / 75
Corsi share
46.8%
Fenwick share
47.9%
xG for / against
3.86 / 5.54
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Apr 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
109
Save %
93.6
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
19.3

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Apr 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
101
Save %
88.1
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
30.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.17
xG against / game
2.79
xG differential / game
0.38

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
2.71
xG against / game
3.00
xG differential / game
-0.29

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.6
Corsi share (%)
48.1
Fenwick share (%)
50.8
Faceoff win %
47.0
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 31.3 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.2
Corsi share (%)
48.4
Fenwick share (%)
48.5
Faceoff win %
49.2
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 22.2 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
18Points15
0.692Points %0.682
41Goals for32
30Goals against20
11Goal differential12
W2Current streakW5
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
9Games6
4Wins4
10Points8
4Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
6-3-1Record7-2-1
13Points15
32Goals for32
25Goals against16
7Goal differential16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 6 wins
Total goals21 – 36
Goal differential -15 / +15
Goals per game2.1 / 3.6
Shots per game28.7 / 28.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 21, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 2 29 - 28 View
Dec 11, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 5 18 - 32 View
Oct 14, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 5 41 - 25 View
Apr 6, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 3 25 - 41 View
Mar 24, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
0 - 3 32 - 29 View
Dec 27, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 2 18 - 29 View
Nov 16, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 1 40 - 23 View
Jan 10, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 7 23 - 34 View
Jan 8, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 0 20 - 23 View
Nov 12, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
8 - 3 37 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.