Forward trio
142:13 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 128
- Fenwick for / against
- 117 / 90
- Corsi share
- 55.4%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 7.52 / 6.47
Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 26, 2026
NHL matchup
Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 26, 2026.
February 26, 2026
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
191:04 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 204 / 180
- Fenwick for / against
- 142 / 131
- Corsi share
- 53.1%
- Fenwick share
- 52.0%
- xG for / against
- 10.44 / 9.70
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
45:33 together · 5 games
- Corsi for / against
- 50 / 30
- Fenwick for / against
- 35 / 19
- Corsi share
- 62.5%
- Fenwick share
- 64.8%
- xG for / against
- 2.16 / 1.68
Defense pair
101:45 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 124 / 76
- Fenwick for / against
- 88 / 59
- Corsi share
- 62.0%
- Fenwick share
- 59.9%
- xG for / against
- 6.08 / 3.60
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Filip Gustavsson
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Feb 4
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 26.8
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Feb 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 129
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 31.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.46
- xG against / game
- 3.22
- xG differential / game
- 0.24
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.60
- xG against / game
- 2.81
- xG differential / game
- 0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.9
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 29.8 · Shooting: 15.1% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 68.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 56.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 31.4 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MIN
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 13 |
| 0.692 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 41 | Goals for | 49 |
| 30 | Goals against | 40 |
| 11 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
MIN road
|
Metric |
COL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 6 |
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 10 | Points | 9 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
MIN
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 13 | Points | 9 |
| 32 | Goals for | 35 |
| 25 | Goals against | 35 |
| 7 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MIN
3 wins
10
games reviewed
COL
7 wins
Total goals19 – 35
Goal differential
-16
/
+16
Goals per game1.9 / 3.5
Shots per game27.9 / 32.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Minnesota Wild
|
5 - 1 | 42 - 29 | View |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 41 - 37 | View |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 2 | 28 - 23 | View |
| Feb 28, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 5 | 20 - 30 | View |
| Jan 20, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 1 | 26 - 27 | View |
| Jan 9, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Minnesota Wild
|
6 - 1 | 27 - 25 | View |
| Apr 9, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 5 | 22 - 32 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Minnesota Wild
|
5 - 2 | 36 - 46 | View |
| Mar 8, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 2 | 30 - 40 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 21 | View |