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Minnesota Wild vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 17, 2026

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 17, 2026.

March 17, 2026 · 7:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

159:48 together · 10 games

xG share62.7%
Corsi for / against
177 / 138
Fenwick for / against
128 / 100
Corsi share
56.2%
Fenwick share
56.1%
xG for / against
8.76 / 5.21
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

96:10 together · 9 games

xG share45.6%
Corsi for / against
73 / 96
Fenwick for / against
53 / 78
Corsi share
43.2%
Fenwick share
40.5%
xG for / against
4.00 / 4.78
Defense pair

131:37 together · 10 games

xG share47.7%
Corsi for / against
93 / 134
Fenwick for / against
71 / 99
Corsi share
41.0%
Fenwick share
41.8%
xG for / against
5.56 / 6.09
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Mar 15

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
89.8
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
30.7

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Mar 14

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
154
Save %
90.9
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
40.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.22
xG against / game
2.88
xG differential / game
0.34

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.66
xG against / game
3.03
xG differential / game
-0.37

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.1
Corsi share (%)
51.4
Fenwick share (%)
51.2
Faceoff win %
47.9
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 30.1 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
46.4
Corsi share (%)
45.4
Fenwick share (%)
45.9
Faceoff win %
44.4
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 21.8 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
18Points6
0.692Points %0.273
41Goals for24
30Goals against43
11Goal differential-19
W2Current streakL3
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
9Games7
4Wins3
10Points6
4Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
6-3-1Record3-7-0
13Points6
32Goals for22
25Goals against38
7Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 1 wins
Total goals34 – 19
Goal differential +15 / -15
Goals per game3.4 / 1.9
Shots per game28.2 / 28.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 27, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 4 32 - 23 View
Nov 26, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 24 - 37 View
Jan 26, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 2 28 - 20 View
Dec 23, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 4 31 - 27 View
Nov 29, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 3 23 - 29 View
Nov 10, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 2 33 - 22 View
Apr 7, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 0 37 - 24 View
Feb 7, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 1 25 - 21 View
Dec 3, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 4 29 - 34 View
Apr 10, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 2 22 - 42 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.